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Eliteserien · Matchweek 26 · 8 November 2026 · 18:15

Fredrikstad vs Brann: prediction, tip and odds, 8 November 2026, Eliteserien

VS
WLLLW
1Fredrikstad2.70
XDraw3.85
2Brann2.45

Best price · Updated 5/11/26, 02:08

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It is Fredrikstad against Brann on 8 November 2026 · 18:15 at Fredrikstad Stadion (Fredrikstad). This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.

Fredrikstad vs Brann: tip and prediction
Handicap
Brann +0 (Asian handicap)
1.84
Goals
Both teams to score
1.45
52%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match

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Fredrikstad vs Brann betting prediction

Our tip for Fredrikstad against Brann in Eliteserien is Brann +0 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.84, a bet the bookmakers rate at a 53% chance. We like Brann to win without the draw protecting them, and we are happy to take the stake back if the game ends level. The kick-off is 8 November 2026 at 18:15 at Fredrikstad Stadion.

Brann's table position and away numbers

Brann sit seventh with 32 points from 25 matches, while Fredrikstad are 11th on 29 points from the same number of games. In this competition Brann have 10 wins, 2 draws and 13 defeats, with 45 goals scored and 42 conceded. Fredrikstad have 8 wins, 5 draws and 12 defeats, with 29 scored and 44 conceded. Brann average 1.8 goals a match and Fredrikstad 1.2.

Fredrikstad are not poor at home, with 5 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats, but they have scored 14 and conceded 15 there. Brann on the road have 3 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats, with 22 scored and 22 conceded. That is a side that can win away but has leaked goals doing it.

Fredrikstad's last five matches, all competitions

This is where we lean hardest. Fredrikstad's last five matches in all competitions have produced no wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats, with 5 goals scored and 13 conceded. The league table covers only this competition, so the two sets of figures come from different games, but the message is the same.

The latest of those results was a 0-3 home defeat to Rosenborg, and before that a 5-1 defeat away at Molde. Their draws came against Vålerenga and Tromsø, both 1-1.

Brann's mixed run with a useful finish

Brann's last five in all competitions have brought 3 wins, no draws and 2 defeats, with 12 scored and 10 conceded. They beat Lincoln Red Imps 2-1 at home, lost 3-1 at Vålerenga, won 4-1 away at Kauno Žalgiris, lost 3-2 at Lillestrøm and then beat Molde 3-2 at home. That is not a smooth run, but it finished with a win and with goals at both ends.

A rivalry that has tilted toward Brann

Brann have dominated the recent meetings. In the last eight, they have won six and Fredrikstad two, with no draws. Brann scored 20 goals in those games and Fredrikstad 7. The most recent meeting, on 2 May this year, finished Brann 3-1 Fredrikstad, and the one before was a 1-0 Brann win in September last year.

Fredrikstad's best results in the sample were a 3-0 home win in March last year and a 2-0 win at Brann in April 2024. Those games show Fredrikstad can beat Brann, but they have been the exceptions.

No absences and what the market expects

No absences have been reported for either club, so we have nothing to adjust for injuries or suspensions. The bookmakers make Brann favourites at 40% for the win, with Fredrikstad on 35% and the draw on 25%. The best prices are 2.45 for Brann, 2.77 for Fredrikstad and 3.85 for the draw, and the margin on the match result is 7.9%, so there is little value hiding in the 1X2 market.

On the handicap, Brann +0 is priced at 53% and best odds of 1.84, which is the number we are working from. The expected goals are 2 each, and the most likely exact scores are 1-1 (10.4%), 1-2 (8.6%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The market tells us what it expects. It does not tell us which team will make the difference.

Why Brann +0 is our main selection

Brann have won three of their last five, while Fredrikstad have won none. Brann are seventh on 32 points and Fredrikstad 11th on 29, and Brann have won six of the last eight meetings to Fredrikstad's two. Put those together with a 53% market chance at 1.84 and the case is clear enough for us.

The settlement is straightforward. A Brann win wins the bet, so 1-2 and 0-1 both pay. A 2-1 or a 1-0 loses it, because Fredrikstad take the bet on those scores. A 1-1 or a 2-2 returns the stake. We would not back Fredrikstad +0 on this evidence, whatever their home record suggests.

Another tip: Both teams to score

Our second tip is both teams to score at 1.45, which the market prices at 65%. Fredrikstad scored in four of their last five and failed to score in only one. Brann scored in all five of their last five matches and have not failed to score in any of them, so both sides have been finding the net regularly.

This bet wins on 1-1, 1-2, 2-1 and 2-2, and loses on 0-1 and 1-0. It works well alongside the main tip, because a Brann win with Fredrikstad also scoring is a result that pays both bets.

Side bets that fit the same story

If we want a cover with more margin, we like Brann +1 at 1.23, a bet with a 78% chance. It wins unless Brann lose by two or more, and a defeat by exactly one returns the stake. It supports the same view as our main tip without needing Brann to win outright. Draw or Brann at 1.50 (65%) is another option that matches the picture, although its price is less generous. Over 2.5 goals at 1.53 (62%) reflects the goal-scoring of both sides, and it pairs naturally with our second tip. Each of these bets points the same way as our selections, and that is why we would consider them.

Fredrikstad vs Brann: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price2.703.852.45
Market average2.613.672.38
Lowest odds2.503.322.23
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.171.1481.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.531.5161.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.532.4338.3%
Over 3.5 goals2.302.2541.8%
BTTS – yes1.451.4364.7%
BTTS – no2.702.6335.3%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 02:08. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.7%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Fredrikstad 1–1 Brann, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Fredrikstad 11th (29 points), Brann 7th (32 points).
  • Form in the competition: Fredrikstad 8W 5D 12L (29:44), Brann 10W 2D 13L (45:42).
  • H2H: 8 matches: Fredrikstad 2W 0D 6L, goals 7–20.
  • Absences: Fredrikstad 0, Brann 0.

Who will win Fredrikstad vs Brann?

Fredrikstad36%
Draw25%
Brann39%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Fredrikstad vs Brann: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals81.7% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.17
Likely
BTTS – yes64.7% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.45
Likely
Draw or Brann (X2)64.4% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.50
Likely
Over 2.5 goals61.7% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.53
Likely
Under 3.5 goals58.2% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.64
Possible
Over 3.5 goals41.8% · fair odds 2.39 · best 2.30
Outsider
Brann to win39.1% · fair odds 2.56 · best 2.45
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals38.3% · fair odds 2.61 · best 2.53
Outsider
Fredrikstad to win35.6% · fair odds 2.81 · best 2.70
Outsider
BTTS – no35.3% · fair odds 2.83 · best 2.70
Outsider
Draw25.4% · fair odds 3.94 · best 3.85
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.93 · Under 1.79
probability of over 48.2%

Correct score prediction

1 : 110.6%
1 : 28.5%
2 : 18.2%
0 : 16.9%
1 : 06.6%
2 : 26.6%

Fredrikstad vs Brann: team news and absences

Fredrikstad

  • No reported absences

Brann

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Viking2519-2-464:2659
2Bodø/Glimt2519-2-461:2359
3Molde2513-4-859:3943
4Rosenborg2513-4-849:3143
5Lillestrøm2513-3-936:3342
6Tromsø2511-7-743:3840
7Brann2510-2-1345:4232
8Vålerenga259-5-1143:4632
9Sarpsborg 08 FF258-7-1032:3931
10KFUM Oslo258-7-1032:4131
11Fredrikstad258-5-1229:4429
12Sandefjord257-6-1226:3427
13Ham-Kam257-6-1235:5327
14Aalesund255-9-1143:5724
15Kristiansund BK256-5-1429:5123
16Start255-4-1626:5519

Recent matches

Fredrikstad

31 OctLFredrikstad 0–3 Rosenborg
25 OctLMolde 5–1 Fredrikstad
17 OctLViking 3–2 Fredrikstad
11 OctDFredrikstad 1–1 Tromsø
20 SeptDVålerenga 1–1 Fredrikstad

Brann

1 NovWBrann 3–2 Molde
25 OctLLillestrøm 3–2 Brann
22 OctWKauno Žalgiris 1–4 Brann
18 OctLVålerenga 3–1 Brann
15 OctWBrann 2–1 Lincoln Red Imps FC

Home and away

Fredrikstad at home12 matches: 5W 3D 4L, goals 14–15
Brann away12 matches: 3W 2D 7L, goals 22–22

Team comparison

FredrikstadBrann
25%Form75%
38%Attack62%
46%Defence54%
40%Head to head60%
43%Goals57%
39.0%Overall61.0%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

FredrikstadLLLDD
BrannWLLLW

Head to head

All matches
2Fredrikstad
0Draws
6Brann
2/5/26 · Brann 3–1 Fredrikstad
28/9/25 · Brann 1–0 Fredrikstad
29/3/25 · Fredrikstad 3–0 Brann
18/8/24 · Fredrikstad 0–4 Brann
7/4/24 · Brann 0–2 Fredrikstad
22/10/22 · Fredrikstad 1–3 Brann

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.7%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Fredrikstad vs Brann?

Brann +0 (Asian handicap) (1.84); Both teams to score (1.45).

Who will win Fredrikstad vs Brann?

We estimate: Fredrikstad win 36%, draw 25%, Brann win 39%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 8 November 2026, kick-off: 18:15, venue: Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad.

Who will be missing?

Fredrikstad: no absences. Brann: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.53); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 38% (odds 2.53).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 65% (odds 1.45).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.6%), then 1–2 (8.5%) and 2–1 (8.2%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Kristiansund BK vs Vålerenga 7 NovRosenborg vs Start 7 NovTromsø vs Bodø/Glimt 8 NovLillestrøm vs Aalesund 8 NovSandefjord vs Molde 8 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.

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