Ipswich play Bournemouth at home on 8 November 2026 · 14:00 at Portman Road (Ipswich). For us, Bournemouth (49%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Ipswich vs Bournemouth betting prediction
Portman Road hosts Ipswich against Bournemouth on 8 November 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 in the top English division. Our model puts Ipswich's expected goals near 1 and Bournemouth's near 2, giving roughly three goals across the match. Scorelines of 1-1 (11.2%), 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-1 (9.4%) rank highest. These figures come from the bookmakers and tilt toward a Bournemouth victory without suggesting a comfortable one. Our pick is the away side on the Asian handicap.
A 14th-place return for Ipswich in front of their own fans
Across their nine games in this league, Ipswich have picked up three victories, two draws and four losses, sitting 14th with 11 points. Their attack has found the net 14 times and they have let in 18, which works out at 1.6 scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Closer to home, Portman Road has been more forgiving: they have won twice, drawn once and lost once there, with five goals in and five against. It is a respectable record on home soil, yet it hardly suggests a team that imposes itself on its own patch.
Their form across all competitions is harder to get excited about. Ipswich have collected one win from their last five, the 2-1 home victory against Fulham, alongside a pair of draws and a pair of defeats. Over those five matches they have netted 7 and let in 8. The 3-2 loss at Manchester City proved they are capable of finding the net, yet the 2-2 at Hull City and the 1-1 at home to Nottingham Forest offered little sign of a side poised to dominate.
Bournemouth's five-match streak against an eighth-place table
Bournemouth sit eighth with 12 points, built on three victories, three draws and three losses in this competition. Their attack has found the net 14 times and they have let in 13, averages of 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded per game. The real concern is their travelling form: they have collected just one win and one draw from two defeats away from home, netting seven and shipping nine on the road.
This run is what caught our attention. Across all competitions, Bournemouth have won five straight games, scoring 13 times and keeping a clean sheet in each. Sturm Graz, Sunderland and AC Milan were beaten at home, United were beaten 3-0 on their own ground, and Leeds went down 2-0 at home. Five different opponents, zero goals conceded. The league table describes one competition, while these last five results describe the side as it stands right now.
Six meetings with four draws
Past results offer only limited guidance here. Across the last six clashes, Bournemouth and Ipswich have each taken one victory apiece, four games have ended level, and the goals tally stands at nine apiece. Ipswich's most recent success came on 2 April 2025, when they edged a 2-1 win away from home. Bournemouth had replied on 8 December 2024 with a 2-1 victory at Portman Road. Earlier, the pair drew 2-2 twice in 2014, shared a 1-1 in 2015 and another stalemate in 2013. Because these teams have so often neutralised one another, we would give this history little weight.
No team news to change the picture
Neither team has reported any injuries or suspensions, which leaves no selection angle to explore. The bookmakers have already settled on a position, so what we need to decide is whether the odds offered on it represent real value.
Best bet for Ipswich vs Bournemouth: Bournemouth +0
Bournemouth are the bookies' pick to win, rated at 49% with the best available odds at 2.02. Ipswich to win is priced at 26% (best odds 3.90), and the draw also sits at 26% (best odds 3.96). These numbers reflect what the odds-setters anticipate, serving as a baseline rather than our recommendation.
We back Bournemouth +0 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.53 (chance 66%). Under this line, a Bournemouth victory pays out, a stalemate hands back the stake, and a loss costs it.
Our case rests on three points. Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last five, with five wins. Ipswich have managed just one win from their last five. Finally, the bookmakers price the Bournemouth handicap at a 66% chance, with the best odds at 1.53. Bournemouth sit eighth and Ipswich 14th in the table, but that reflects this competition alone. We are backing the form.
Most of the likely scores lean toward the bet. A 1-2 or 0-2 Bournemouth win and a 0-1 away win all pay out, while a 1-1 draw gives the stake back. The losing outcomes are 2-1 and 1-0 home wins. That is the risk we accept at 1.53.
Under 3.5 as the second pick
We back Under 3.5 goals at 1.50, which the market rates at 64%. Bournemouth's last five matches all ended without them conceding, and bookmakers price the under 3.5 line at 64% at best odds of 1.50. Over 3.5 sits at 2.75 (36%), so the odds already point to a match staying below that total. 1-1, 1-2 and 0-1 are the most likely exact scores, and each lands this bet, as do 0-2, 2-1 and 1-0. Only a higher-scoring game would defeat it. Bournemouth's recent defensive form is what makes us confident in this side.
Additional wagers we'd look at
For a complementary pick that sits alongside the primary tip instead of opposing it, these are the options we would consider:
- Bournemouth +0.75 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.20 (chance 79%). The stake is split evenly between Bournemouth +0.5 and Bournemouth +1. A defeat by one goal costs only half the stake, a loss by two goals or more sinks the wager, and if Bournemouth fall short by exactly one, the +1 portion is refunded.
- Over 1.5 goals at odds 1.23 (chance 78%). Bookmakers are pricing in at least two goals with real conviction, which fits neatly alongside the under 3.5 tip.
- Draw or Bournemouth (X2) at odds 1.32 (chance 74%). A safer way to back Bournemouth for those who find an outright victory a bit too risky.
- Bournemouth +0.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.29 (chance 75%). Bournemouth only lose the wager if they are beaten by a margin of 1 goal or more.
Final call on the scoreline
Ipswich have proven they are capable of finding the net on their own ground, and their losses have rarely been by wide margins, which makes a Bournemouth victory anything but a sure thing. Our main tip still stands at 1.53, and a draw would not sink it. Our most likely score is Ipswich 1-1 Bournemouth.
Ipswich vs Bournemouth: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.90 | 3.96 | 1.98 |
| Market average | 3.71 | 3.72 | 1.94 |
| Lowest odds | 3.28 | 3.28 | 1.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.21 | 77.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.74 | 1.69 | 56.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.18 | 43.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.76 | 2.69 | 35.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.60 | 58.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.24 | 41.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 03:43. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Ipswich 1–1 Bournemouth, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Ipswich 14th (11 points), Bournemouth 8th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Ipswich 3W 2D 4L (14:18), Bournemouth 3W 3D 3L (14:13).
- H2H: 6 matches: Ipswich 1W 4D 1L, goals 9–9.
- Absences: Ipswich 0, Bournemouth 0.
Who will win Ipswich vs Bournemouth?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Ipswich vs Bournemouth: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Ipswich vs Bournemouth: team news and absences
Ipswich
- No reported absences
Bournemouth
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Ipswich
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Head to head
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Ipswich vs Bournemouth?
Bournemouth +0 (Asian handicap) (1.49); Under 3.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win Ipswich vs Bournemouth?
We estimate: Ipswich win 26%, draw 26%, Bournemouth win 49%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 8 November 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: Portman Road, Ipswich.
Who will be missing?
Ipswich: no absences. Bournemouth: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.74); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 44% (odds 2.27).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 58% (odds 1.62).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.2%), then 1–2 (9.5%) and 0–1 (9.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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