Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bournemouth v AC Milan: 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth), with Vassilis Fotias refereeing. We have Bournemouth (51%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Bournemouth vs AC Milan: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Bournemouth are 4th in the table, on 9 points after 3 matches (3W 0D 0L), and AC Milan are 24th, on 3 points (1W 0D 2L).
- Head to head. From 1 meetings: 1 win for Bournemouth, 0 wins for AC Milan and 0 draws, with the goals at 3–0.
What to expect
For us, Bournemouth are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.1%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), and we rate it at 66%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 57% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 55% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 1; Bournemouth 1 win, 0 draws, AC Milan 0 wins.
- An average of 3.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 55%.
- Out: Bournemouth 0, AC Milan 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 57%, best price 1.67). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Bournemouth: no absences. Absent for AC Milan: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Bournemouth vs AC Milan: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.14 | 4.02 | 4.19 |
| Market average | 1.87 | 3.81 | 3.93 |
| Lowest odds | 1.80 | 3.58 | 3.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.21 | 77.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.72 | 55.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.13 | 44.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.81 | 2.73 | 34.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.64 | 56.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.15 | 43.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 22/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.5%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Bournemouth 1–1 AC Milan, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bournemouth 4th (9 points), AC Milan 24th (3 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Bournemouth 1W 0D 0L, goals 3–0.
- Absences: Bournemouth 0, AC Milan 0.
Who will win Bournemouth vs AC Milan?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Bournemouth vs AC Milan: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Bournemouth vs AC Milan: team news and absences
Bournemouth
- No reported absences
AC Milan
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | 3-1-0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 4 | Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union Saint-Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Rennes | 4 | 1-3-0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 | AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Bournemouth vs AC Milan?
Bournemouth to win (2.14); Under 3.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win Bournemouth vs AC Milan?
We estimate: Bournemouth win 51%, draw 25%, AC Milan win 24%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 22 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth. Referee: Vassilis Fotias.
Who will be missing?
Bournemouth: no absences. AC Milan: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.75); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 45% (odds 2.20).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 57% (odds 1.67).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.1%), then 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (9.6%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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