Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Paris FC play Monaco at home on 1 November 2026 · 16:15 at Stade Jean-Bouin (Paris); the referee is Jeremy Stinat. For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Paris FC vs Monaco: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Paris FC are 4th in the table, on 17 points after 9 matches (5W 2D 2L), and Monaco are 7th, on 15 points (4W 3D 2L).
- Attack and defence. On average Paris FC score 1.6 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.1; for Monaco the figures are 1.4 scored and 0.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Paris FC: 4W 2D 2L, goals 13–9; Monaco: 4W 3D 1L, goals 11–7.
- Head to head. From 3 meetings: 3 wins for Paris FC, 0 wins for Monaco and 0 draws, with the goals at 8–2.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.46), and we rate it at 67%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 59% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 54% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 3; Paris FC 3 wins, 0 draws, Monaco 0 wins.
- An average of 3.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Paris FC 13–9, Monaco 11–7.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 54%.
- Out: Paris FC 6, Monaco 3.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 59%, best price 1.65). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Paris FC: L. Koleosho, N. Sangui, A. Camara, S. Chergui, J. Ikone, K. Trapp. Absent for Monaco: A. Fati, S. Idumbo, M. Salisu. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Paris FC vs Monaco: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.57 | 3.70 | 2.82 |
| Market average | 2.49 | 3.52 | 2.74 |
| Lowest odds | 2.39 | 3.21 | 2.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.23 | 76.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.83 | 1.77 | 54.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.08 | 46.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.83 | 33.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.59 | 58.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.25 | 41.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 13:03. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.2%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Paris FC 1–1 Monaco, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Paris FC 4th (17 points), Monaco 7th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Paris FC 4W 2D 2L (13:9), Monaco 4W 3D 1L (11:7).
- H2H: 3 matches: Paris FC 3W 0D 0L, goals 8–2.
- Absences: Paris FC 6, Monaco 3.
Who will win Paris FC vs Monaco?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Paris FC vs Monaco: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Paris FC vs Monaco: team news and absences
Paris FC
- L. Koleoshomuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Sanguimuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Camarahamstring injury · doubtful
- S. Cherguiknee injury · doubtful
- J. Ikonethigh injury · doubtful
- K. Trappillness · doubtful
Monaco
- A. Fatihamstring injury · will miss the match
- S. Idumbogroin injury · will miss the match
- M. Salisuabsence · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Paris FC
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Paris FCWLWLWMonacoLDLDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Paris FC vs Monaco?
Paris FC +0 (Asian handicap) (1.89); Under 3.5 goals (1.46).
Who will win Paris FC vs Monaco?
We estimate: Paris FC win 38%, draw 27%, Monaco win 35%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 1 November 2026, kick-off: 16:15, venue: Stade Jean-Bouin, Paris. Referee: Jeremy Stinat.
Who will be missing?
Paris FC: L. Koleosho, N. Sangui, A. Camara, S. Chergui, J. Ikone, K. Trapp. Monaco: A. Fati, S. Idumbo, M. Salisu. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.83); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 46% (odds 2.17).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 59% (odds 1.65).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.9%), then 1–0 (8.8%) and 2–1 (8.6%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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