Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Monaco against SC Freiburg on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Stade Louis II (Monaco), and S. Barrott will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Monaco vs SC Freiburg: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Monaco are 6th in the table, on 6 points after 2 matches (2W 0D 0L), and SC Freiburg are 18th, on 3 points (1W 0D 1L).
What to expect
For us, Monaco are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.1%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 62% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 58% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 58%.
- Out: Monaco 0, SC Freiburg 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 62%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Monaco: no absences. Absent for SC Freiburg: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Monaco vs SC Freiburg: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.26 | 3.75 | 3.18 |
| Market average | 2.20 | 3.61 | 3.04 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.33 | 2.78 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 79.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.62 | 58.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.27 | 41.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.57 | 2.46 | 38.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.51 | 61.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.60 | 2.44 | 38.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 22/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.2%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Monaco 1–1 SC Freiburg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Monaco 6th (6 points), SC Freiburg 18th (3 points).
- Absences: Monaco 0, SC Freiburg 0.
Who will win Monaco vs SC Freiburg?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Monaco vs SC Freiburg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Monaco vs SC Freiburg: team news and absences
Monaco
- No reported absences
SC Freiburg
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2-0-0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2-0-0 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1-1-0 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 2 | 1-1-0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1-0-1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1-0-1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjælland | 2 | 0-2-0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 |  Riga | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0-1-1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0-0-2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:8 | 0 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Monaco vs SC Freiburg?
Over 2.5 goals (1.70); Monaco or draw (1X) (1.40).
Who will win Monaco vs SC Freiburg?
We estimate: Monaco win 43%, draw 26%, SC Freiburg win 31%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 22 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Stade Louis II, Monaco. Referee: S. Barrott.
Who will be missing?
Monaco: no absences. SC Freiburg: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.70); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 42% (odds 2.35).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 62% (odds 1.57).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.1%), then 2–1 (9.1%) and 1–0 (8.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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