Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen play SC Freiburg at home on 18 October 2026 · 14:30 at BayArena (Bayer Leverkusen); the referee is Florian Badstübner, Germany. For us, Bayer Leverkusen (59%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Bayer Leverkusen are 6th in the table, on 13 points after 8 matches (4W 1D 3L), and SC Freiburg are 3rd, on 16 points (5W 1D 2L).
What to expect
For us, Bayer Leverkusen are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.7%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.45), and we rate it at 65%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 63% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 65% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 65%.
- Out: Bayer Leverkusen 0, SC Freiburg 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 63%, best price 1.50). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Bayer Leverkusen: no absences. Absent for SC Freiburg: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.64 | 4.67 | 5.17 |
| Market average | 1.61 | 4.49 | 4.91 |
| Lowest odds | 1.57 | 4.20 | 4.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.10 | 84.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.45 | 1.43 | 65.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.84 | 2.71 | 34.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.11 | 45.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.49 | 62.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.49 | 37.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 18/10/26, 12:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 SC Freiburg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bayer Leverkusen 6th (13 points), SC Freiburg 3rd (16 points).
- Absences: Bayer Leverkusen 0, SC Freiburg 0.
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg: team news and absences
Bayer Leverkusen
- No reported absences
SC Freiburg
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
SC Freiburg +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.59); Over 2.5 goals (1.45).
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
We estimate: Bayer Leverkusen win 59%, draw 21%, SC Freiburg win 19%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 18 October 2026, kick-off: 14:30, venue: BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen. Referee: Florian Badstübner, Germany.
Who will be missing?
Bayer Leverkusen: no absences. SC Freiburg: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 65% (odds 1.45); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 35% (odds 2.84).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 63% (odds 1.50).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.7%), then 1–1 (9.1%) and 2–0 (8.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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