Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Crystal Palace against Newcastle on 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at Selhurst Park (London), and Paul Tierney will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Crystal Palace are 18th in the table, on 7 points after 9 matches (2W 1D 6L), and Newcastle are 13th, on 11 points (3W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average Crystal Palace score 1.3 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.4; for Newcastle the figures are 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Crystal Palace: 2W 1D 4L, goals 9–17; Newcastle: 2W 2D 3L, goals 10–14.
- Head to head. From 27 meetings: 6 wins for Crystal Palace, 12 wins for Newcastle and 9 draws, with the goals at 22–36.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.2%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
What stands out is that the table favours the Newcastle, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 62% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 58% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 27; Crystal Palace 6 wins, 9 draws, Newcastle 12 wins.
- An average of 2.1 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Crystal Palace 9–17, Newcastle 10–14.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 58%.
- Out: Crystal Palace 5, Newcastle 4.
Alternative tip: Crystal Palace or draw (1X)
Alternative tip: Crystal Palace or draw (1X) (probability 64%, best price 1.53). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Crystal Palace: C. Riad, T. Tomiyasu, D. Henderson, J. Larsen, Q. Timber. Absent for Newcastle: E. Jaouen, V. Livramento, A. Elanga, J. Ramsey. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.71 | 3.65 | 2.71 |
| Market average | 2.61 | 3.53 | 2.62 |
| Lowest odds | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.19 | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.65 | 57.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.26 | 42.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.70 | 2.51 | 37.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.50 | 62.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.46 | 37.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 13:09. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.8%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Crystal Palace 1–1 Newcastle, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Crystal Palace 18th (7 points), Newcastle 13th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Crystal Palace 2W 1D 4L (9:17), Newcastle 2W 2D 3L (10:14).
- H2H: 27 matches: Crystal Palace 6W 9D 12L, goals 22–36.
- Absences: Crystal Palace 5, Newcastle 4.
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle: team news and absences
Crystal Palace
- C. Riadknee injury · will miss the match
- T. Tomiyasucalf injury · will miss the match
- D. Hendersonfoot injury · doubtful
- J. Larseninjury · doubtful
- Q. Timberinjury · doubtful
Newcastle
- E. Jaouenmuscle injury · will miss the match
- V. Livramentoknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Elangaknee injury · doubtful
- J. Ramseythigh injury · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Crystal Palace
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Crystal PalaceLLLWDNewcastleLWLLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
Newcastle +0 (Asian handicap) (1.97); Under 3.5 goals (1.57).
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
We estimate: Crystal Palace win 37%, draw 27%, Newcastle win 36%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: Selhurst Park, London. Referee: Paul Tierney.
Who will be missing?
Crystal Palace: C. Riad, T. Tomiyasu, D. Henderson, J. Larsen, Q. Timber. Newcastle: E. Jaouen, V. Livramento, A. Elanga, J. Ramsey. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.70); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 42% (odds 2.35).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 62% (odds 1.55).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.2%), then 1–2 (8.4%) and 2–1 (8.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.