Bet with Freshbet →Nice v Paris Saint Germain: 21 November 2026 · 16:15 at Allianz Riviera (Nice). We have Paris Saint Germain (65%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Nice vs Paris Saint Germain: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Nice are 8th in the table, on 14 points after 9 matches (4W 2D 3L), and Paris Saint Germain are 1st, on 20 points (6W 2D 1L).
What to expect
For us, Paris Saint Germain are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–2 (9.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.55), and we rate it at 61%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 61% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 69% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 69%.
- Out: Nice 0, Paris Saint Germain 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 61%, best price 1.55). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Nice: no absences. Absent for Paris Saint Germain: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Nice vs Paris Saint Germain: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 6.40 | 5.24 | 1.50 |
| Market average | 6.12 | 4.97 | 1.45 |
| Lowest odds | 5.80 | 4.75 | 1.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.09 | 85.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.37 | 68.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.01 | 31.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.03 | 1.99 | 48.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.52 | 61.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.48 | 2.42 | 38.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 03:22. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Nice 1–2 Paris Saint Germain, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Nice 8th (14 points), Paris Saint Germain 1st (20 points).
- Absences: Nice 0, Paris Saint Germain 0.
Who will win Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Nice vs Paris Saint Germain: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Nice vs Paris Saint Germain: team news and absences
Nice
- No reported absences
Paris Saint Germain
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?
Under 3.5 goals (1.91); Paris Saint Germain to win (1.50).
Who will win Nice vs Paris Saint Germain?
We estimate: Nice win 15%, draw 19%, Paris Saint Germain win 65%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 21 November 2026, kick-off: 16:15, venue: Allianz Riviera, Nice.
Who will be missing?
Nice: no absences. Paris Saint Germain: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 69% (odds 1.40); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 31% (odds 3.20).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 61% (odds 1.55).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–2 as most likely (9.6%), then 0–2 (8.7%) and 1–1 (8.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.