Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 5–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Nice against Rennes on 30 October 2026 · 18:00 at Allianz Riviera (Nice), and Eric Wattellier will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Nice vs Rennes: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Nice are 8th in the table, on 14 points after 9 matches (4W 2D 3L), and Rennes are 5th, on 16 points (5W 1D 3L).
- Attack and defence. On average Nice score 1.0 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.3; for Rennes the figures are 2.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Nice: 3W 2D 3L, goals 8–10; Rennes: 5W 1D 2L, goals 18–14.
- Head to head. From 36 meetings: 18 wins for Nice, 10 wins for Rennes and 8 draws, with the goals at 55–44.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.2%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.53), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 63% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 59% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 36; Nice 18 wins, 8 draws, Rennes 10 wins.
- An average of 2.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Nice 8–10, Rennes 18–14.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 59%.
- Out: Nice 5, Rennes 2.
Alternative tip: Draw or Rennes (X2)
Alternative tip: Draw or Rennes (X2) (probability 63%, best price 1.56). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Nice: L. Abergel, M. Bombito, A. Mendy, A. Seidu, A. Abdi. Absent for Rennes: E. Lepaul, B. Samba. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Nice vs Rennes: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.77 | 3.70 | 2.78 |
| Market average | 2.59 | 3.57 | 2.57 |
| Lowest odds | 2.46 | 3.31 | 2.36 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 79.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.60 | 59.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.32 | 40.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.45 | 38.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.48 | 62.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.50 | 37.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 30/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Nice 1–1 Rennes, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Nice 8th (14 points), Rennes 5th (16 points).
- Form in the competition: Nice 3W 2D 3L (8:10), Rennes 5W 1D 2L (18:14).
- H2H: 36 matches: Nice 18W 8D 10L, goals 55–44.
- Absences: Nice 5, Rennes 2.
Who will win Nice vs Rennes?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Nice vs Rennes: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Nice vs Rennes: team news and absences
Nice
- L. Abergelknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Bombitoabsence · will miss the match
- A. Mendyknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Seiduabsence · will miss the match
- A. Abdimuscle injury · doubtful
Rennes
- E. Lepaulankle injury · will miss the match
- B. Sambathigh injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Nice
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
NiceWWLWWRennesLWLWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Nice vs Rennes?
Rennes +0 (Asian handicap) (2.03); Both teams to score (1.53).
Who will win Nice vs Rennes?
We estimate: Nice win 37%, draw 27%, Rennes win 37%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 30 October 2026, kick-off: 18:00, venue: Allianz Riviera, Nice. Referee: Eric Wattellier.
Who will be missing?
Nice: L. Abergel, M. Bombito, A. Mendy, A. Seidu, A. Abdi. Rennes: E. Lepaul, B. Samba. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.67); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 41% (odds 2.42).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 63% (odds 1.53).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.2%), then 1–2 (8.4%) and 2–1 (8.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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