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UEFA Europa League · league phase, matchday 3 · 22 October 2026 · 17:45

OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen: prediction, tip and odds, 22 October 2026, UEFA Europa League

1OFI14.70
XDraw7.56
2Bayer Leverkusen1.23

Best price · Updated 22/10/26, 16:29

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Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

It is OFI against Bayer Leverkusen on 22 October 2026 · 17:45 at Pankritio Stadium (Heraklion), and Oleksiy Derevinskiy will referee. Bayer Leverkusen (79%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.

OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen: tip and prediction
Handicap
Bayer Leverkusen -2 (Asian handicap)
2.01
Goals
Both teams to score
1.87
Combo
Bayer Leverkusen + over 2.5 goals combined
1.63
61% · fair odds for the combo
51%Chance
0–2likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Bayer Leverkusen (X2): 92% probability, best odds 1.06. With short odds on the result, a goals tip alongside it is our suggestion.

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OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. OFI are 26th in the table, on 3 points after 3 matches (1W 0D 2L), and Bayer Leverkusen are 3rd, on 9 points (3W 0D 0L).
  2. Head to head. From 1 meetings: 0 wins for OFI, 1 win for Bayer Leverkusen and 0 draws, with the goals at 0–2.

What to expect

For us, Bayer Leverkusen are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–3 score, roughly 4 goals in all, with 0–2 (10.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

Odds of 1.23 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: Both teams to score (odds 1.87), which we rate at 52%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 52% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 71% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 1; OFI 0 wins, 0 draws, Bayer Leverkusen 1 win.
  2. An average of 2.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 71%.
  4. Out: OFI 0, Bayer Leverkusen 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 52%, best price 1.87). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for OFI: no absences. Absent for Bayer Leverkusen: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price14.707.561.23
Market average12.487.151.20
Lowest odds7.915.611.17
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.111.0887.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.351.3271.1%
Under 2.5 goals3.503.2528.9%
Over 3.5 goals1.931.8751.0%
BTTS – yes1.871.8151.6%
BTTS – no2.001.9348.4%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 22/10/26, 16:29. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.8%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: OFI 0–2 Bayer Leverkusen, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: OFI 26th (3 points), Bayer Leverkusen 3rd (9 points).
  • H2H: 1 match: OFI 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–2.
  • Absences: OFI 0, Bayer Leverkusen 0.

Who will win OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen?

OFI8%
Draw13%
Bayer Leverkusen79%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen: more betting tips

Draw or Bayer Leverkusen (X2)92.2% · fair odds 1.08 · best 1.06
Likely
Over 1.5 goals87.1% · fair odds 1.15 · best 1.11
Likely
Bayer Leverkusen to win78.9% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.23
Likely
Over 2.5 goals71.1% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.35
Likely
BTTS – yes51.6% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.87
Possible
Over 3.5 goals51.0% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.93
Possible
Under 3.5 goals49.0% · fair odds 2.04 · best 2.00
Outsider
BTTS – no48.4% · fair odds 2.07 · best 2.00
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals28.9% · fair odds 3.45 · best 3.50
Outsider
Draw13.3% · fair odds 7.51 · best 7.56
Outsider
OFI to win7.8% · fair odds 12.88 · best 14.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.97 · Under 1.78
probability of over 47.5%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.68 · Under 2.11
probability of over 55.7%

Correct score prediction

0 : 210.6%
0 : 310.0%
1 : 28.4%
1 : 38.0%
0 : 17.4%
0 : 47.1%

OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen: team news and absences

OFI

  • No reported absences

Bayer Leverkusen

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Olympiakos Piraeus43-1-04:110
2Benfica33-0-010:29
3Bayer Leverkusen33-0-08:09
4Bournemouth33-0-08:19
5Ferencvárosi TC33-0-09:39
6Union Saint-Gilloise32-1-08:17
7Juventus32-1-09:37
8Beşiktaş32-1-09:57
9Sunderland32-1-04:27
10AZ Alkmaar32-0-16:26
11Omonia Nicosia32-0-15:46
12Rennes41-3-04:36
13Lyon32-0-15:66
14Real Sociedad31-1-18:34
15Crystal Palace31-1-18:54
16Sparta Praha31-1-15:34
17Levski Sofia31-1-13:34
18Dinamo Zagreb31-1-13:44
19Sturm Graz31-1-11:34
20NEC Nijmegen31-1-15:84
21Red Bull Salzburg31-1-13:64
22Anderlecht31-0-24:33
231899 Hoffenheim31-0-25:53
24AC Milan31-0-24:53
25Celta Vigo31-0-23:43
26OFI31-0-23:43
27Jagiellonia31-0-24:63
28Torreense31-0-24:73
29Celje30-1-22:71
30Hapoel Beer Sheva30-1-21:61
31Lillestrøm30-1-22:91
32Lech Poznań30-1-21:91
33Plzeň30-0-32:70
34Marseille30-0-31:60
35Celtic30-0-33:90
36Ararat-Armenia30-0-32:110

Recent matches

OFI

22 OctLOFI 0–2 Bayer Leverkusen
15 OctLRennes 2–1 OFI
17 SeptWOFI 2–0 1899 Hoffenheim
27 AugWCSKA Sofia 0–2 OFI
20 AugWOFI 3–0 CSKA Sofia

Bayer Leverkusen

31 OctLBayer Leverkusen 2–4 VfB Stuttgart
25 OctL1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 Bayer Leverkusen
22 OctWOFI 0–2 Bayer Leverkusen
18 OctWBayer Leverkusen 2–1 SC Freiburg
15 OctWLech Poznań 0–4 Bayer Leverkusen

Home and away

OFI at home2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 2–2
Bayer Leverkusen away2 matches: 2W 0D 0L, goals 6–0

Head to head

All matches
0OFI
0Draws
1Bayer Leverkusen
22/10/26 · OFI 0–2 Bayer Leverkusen

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.8%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Bayer Leverkusen -2 (Asian handicap) (2.01); Both teams to score (1.87).

Who will win OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen?

We estimate: OFI win 8%, draw 13%, Bayer Leverkusen win 79%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 22 October 2026, kick-off: 17:45, venue: Pankritio Stadium, Heraklion. Referee: Oleksiy Derevinskiy.

Who will be missing?

OFI: no absences. Bayer Leverkusen: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 71% (odds 1.35); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 29% (odds 3.50).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 52% (odds 1.87).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 0–2 as most likely (10.6%), then 0–3 (10.0%) and 1–2 (8.4%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim 5 NovLillestrøm vs Plzeň 5 NovNEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia 5 NovAC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC 5 NovReal Sociedad vs Lyon 5 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.