Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen play VfB Stuttgart at home on 31 October 2026 · 14:30 at BayArena (Bayer Leverkusen); the referee is Benjamin Brand. For us, Bayer Leverkusen (57%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Bayer Leverkusen are 6th in the table, on 13 points after 8 matches (4W 1D 3L), and VfB Stuttgart are 11th, on 9 points (3W 0D 5L).
- Attack and defence. On average Bayer Leverkusen score 2.3 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.7; for VfB Stuttgart the figures are 1.4 scored and 1.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Bayer Leverkusen: 4W 1D 2L, goals 16–12; VfB Stuttgart: 2W 0D 5L, goals 10–13.
- Head to head. From 32 meetings: 19 wins for Bayer Leverkusen, 4 wins for VfB Stuttgart and 9 draws, with the goals at 70–45.
What to expect
For us, Bayer Leverkusen are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.0%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.84), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 70% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 73% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 32; Bayer Leverkusen 19 wins, 9 draws, VfB Stuttgart 4 wins.
- An average of 3.6 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Bayer Leverkusen 16–12, VfB Stuttgart 10–13.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 73%.
- Out: Bayer Leverkusen 7, VfB Stuttgart 6.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 46%, best price 2.12). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Bayer Leverkusen: L. Bade, E. Ben Seghir, M. Diaby, G. Doue, K. Eichhorn, C. Kofane, M. Terrier. Absent for VfB Stuttgart: J. Diehl, L. Sauer, A. Stiller, T. Tomas, J. Vagnoman, D. Zagadou. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.79 | 4.77 | 4.77 |
| Market average | 1.68 | 4.46 | 4.34 |
| Lowest odds | 1.62 | 3.82 | 3.28 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.07 | 87.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.29 | 73.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.49 | 27.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.84 | 1.77 | 53.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.36 | 1.34 | 69.8% |
| BTTS – no | 3.30 | 3.09 | 30.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 14:09. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 VfB Stuttgart, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bayer Leverkusen 6th (13 points), VfB Stuttgart 11th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Bayer Leverkusen 4W 1D 2L (16:12), VfB Stuttgart 2W 0D 5L (10:13).
- H2H: 32 matches: Bayer Leverkusen 19W 9D 4L, goals 70–45.
- Absences: Bayer Leverkusen 7, VfB Stuttgart 6.
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: team news and absences
Bayer Leverkusen
- L. Badeabsence · will miss the match
- E. Ben Seghirmuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Diabyhamstring injury · will miss the match
- G. Douecalf injury · will miss the match
- K. Eichhornillness · will miss the match
- C. Kofanemuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Terriermuscle injury · will miss the match
VfB Stuttgart
- J. Diehlmuscle injury · will miss the match
- L. Sauermuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Stillergroin injury · will miss the match
- T. Tomasmuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Vagnomanmuscle injury · will miss the match
- D. Zagadoumuscle injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
Bayer Leverkusen
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Bayer LeverkusenLLWWWVfB StuttgartWLLWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
Bayer Leverkusen -0.75 (Asian handicap) (2.01); Over 3.5 goals (1.84).
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
We estimate: Bayer Leverkusen win 57%, draw 21%, VfB Stuttgart win 22%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 14:30, venue: BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen. Referee: Benjamin Brand.
Who will be missing?
Bayer Leverkusen: L. Bade, E. Ben Seghir, M. Diaby, G. Doue, K. Eichhorn, C. Kofane, M. Terrier. VfB Stuttgart: J. Diehl, L. Sauer, A. Stiller, T. Tomas, J. Vagnoman, D. Zagadou. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 73% (odds 1.32); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 27% (odds 3.60).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 70% (odds 1.36).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.0%), then 1–1 (7.6%) and 3–1 (7.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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