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UEFA Europa League · league phase, matchday 4 · 4 November 2026 · 15:30

Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus: prediction, tip and odds, 4 November 2026, UEFA Europa League

1Rennes2.28
XDraw3.67
2Olympiakos Piraeus3.18

Best price · Updated 4/11/26, 12:16

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Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Rennes v Olympiakos Piraeus: 4 November 2026 · 15:30 at Roazhon Park (Rennes), with Igor Pajač refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus: tip and prediction
Handicap
Olympiakos Piraeus +0.25 (Asian handicap)
1.94
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.45
51%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Rennes are 12th in the table, on 6 points after 4 matches (1W 3D 0L), and Olympiakos Piraeus are 1st, on 10 points (3W 1D 0L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average Rennes score 1.3 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.0; for Olympiakos Piraeus the figures are 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Rennes: 1W 2D 0L, goals 4–3; Olympiakos Piraeus: 3W 0D 0L, goals 4–1.
  4. Head to head. From 1 meetings: 0 wins for Rennes, 0 wins for Olympiakos Piraeus and 1 draw, with the goals at 0–0.

What to expect

We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–1 score estimate, roughly 3 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.7%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

What stands out is that the table favours the Olympiakos Piraeus, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.

In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.45), and we rate it at 66%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 58% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 54% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 1; Rennes 0 wins, 1 draw, Olympiakos Piraeus 0 wins.
  2. An average of 0.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Rennes 4–3, Olympiakos Piraeus 4–1.
  4. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 54%.
  5. Out: Rennes 3, Olympiakos Piraeus 7.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 58%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Rennes: E. Lepaul, A. Ait Boudlal, V. Rongier. Absent for Olympiakos Piraeus: Clayton, A. El Kaabi, M. Mouandilmadji, B. Popovic, J. Roca, L. Scipioni, Y. Yazici. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price2.283.673.18
Market average2.243.533.06
Lowest odds2.203.302.87
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.251.2376.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.791.7554.4%
Under 2.5 goals2.122.0945.6%
Over 3.5 goals2.882.7933.7%
BTTS – yes1.621.6058.3%
BTTS – no2.302.2441.7%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 4/11/26, 12:16. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.7%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Rennes 1–1 Olympiakos Piraeus, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Rennes 12th (6 points), Olympiakos Piraeus 1st (10 points).
  • Form in the competition: Rennes 1W 2D 0L (4:3), Olympiakos Piraeus 3W 0D 0L (4:1).
  • H2H: 1 match: Rennes 0W 1D 0L, goals 0–0.
  • Absences: Rennes 3, Olympiakos Piraeus 7.

Who will win Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus?

Rennes42%
Draw27%
Olympiakos Piraeus31%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals76.9% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.25
Likely
Rennes or draw (1X)69.1% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.40
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.3% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.45
Likely
BTTS – yes58.3% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.62
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.4% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.79
Possible
Under 2.5 goals45.6% · fair odds 2.19 · best 2.12
Outsider
Rennes to win42.3% · fair odds 2.37 · best 2.28
Outsider
BTTS – no41.7% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.7% · fair odds 2.97 · best 2.88
Outsider
Olympiakos Piraeus to win30.9% · fair odds 3.23 · best 3.18
Outsider
Draw26.8% · fair odds 3.73 · best 3.67
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.86 · Under 1.87
probability of over 50.0%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 2.17 · Under 1.65
probability of over 43.2%

Correct score prediction

1 : 111.7%
2 : 19.0%
1 : 09.0%
1 : 27.6%
0 : 17.5%
2 : 06.9%

Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus: team news and absences

Rennes

  • E. Lepaulankle injury · will miss the match
  • A. Ait Boudlalinjury · doubtful
  • V. Rongiermuscle injury · doubtful

Olympiakos Piraeus

  • Claytonnot in the squad · will miss the match
  • A. El Kaabibroken leg · will miss the match
  • M. Mouandilmadjinot in the squad · will miss the match
  • B. Popovicnot in the squad · will miss the match
  • J. Rocanot in the squad · will miss the match
  • L. Scipioninot in the squad · will miss the match
  • Y. Yaziciknee injury · will miss the match

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Olympiakos Piraeus43-1-04:110
2Benfica33-0-010:29
3Bayer Leverkusen33-0-08:09
4Bournemouth33-0-08:19
5Ferencvárosi TC33-0-09:39
6Union Saint-Gilloise32-1-08:17
7Juventus32-1-09:37
8Beşiktaş32-1-09:57
9Sunderland32-1-04:27
10AZ Alkmaar32-0-16:26
11Omonia Nicosia32-0-15:46
12Rennes41-3-04:36
13Lyon32-0-15:66
14Real Sociedad31-1-18:34
15Crystal Palace31-1-18:54
16Sparta Praha31-1-15:34
17Levski Sofia31-1-13:34
18Dinamo Zagreb31-1-13:44
19Sturm Graz31-1-11:34
20NEC Nijmegen31-1-15:84
21Red Bull Salzburg31-1-13:64
22Anderlecht31-0-24:33
231899 Hoffenheim31-0-25:53
24AC Milan31-0-24:53
25Celta Vigo31-0-23:43
26OFI31-0-23:43
27Jagiellonia31-0-24:63
28Torreense31-0-24:73
29Celje30-1-22:71
30Hapoel Beer Sheva30-1-21:61
31Lillestrøm30-1-22:91
32Lech Poznań30-1-21:91
33Plzeň30-0-32:70
34Marseille30-0-31:60
35Celtic30-0-33:90
36Ararat-Armenia30-0-32:110

Recent matches

Rennes

4 NovDRennes 0–0 Olympiakos Piraeus
30 OctLNice 5–2 Rennes
25 OctWRennes 3–0 Strasbourg
22 OctDJuventus 2–2 Rennes
18 OctLParis FC 4–3 Rennes

Olympiakos Piraeus

4 NovDRennes 0–0 Olympiakos Piraeus
22 OctWOlympiakos Piraeus 1–0 Sparta Praha
15 OctWMarseille 0–1 Olympiakos Piraeus
16 SeptWOlympiakos Piraeus 2–1 Jagiellonia

Home and away

Rennes at home2 matches: 1W 1D 0L, goals 2–1
Olympiakos Piraeus away2 matches: 1W 1D 0L, goals 1–0

Team comparison

RennesOlympiakos Piraeus
36%Form64%
50%Attack50%
25%Defence75%
37.0%Overall63.0%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

RennesDDWD
Olympiakos PiraeusDWWW

Head to head

All matches
0Rennes
1Draws
0Olympiakos Piraeus
4/11/26 · Rennes 0–0 Olympiakos Piraeus

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.7%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus?

Olympiakos Piraeus +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.94); Under 3.5 goals (1.45).

Who will win Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus?

We estimate: Rennes win 42%, draw 27%, Olympiakos Piraeus win 31%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 4 November 2026, kick-off: 15:30, venue: Roazhon Park, Rennes. Referee: Igor Pajač.

Who will be missing?

Rennes: E. Lepaul, A. Ait Boudlal, V. Rongier. Olympiakos Piraeus: Clayton, A. El Kaabi, M. Mouandilmadji, B. Popovic, J. Roca, L. Scipioni, Y. Yazici. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.79); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 46% (odds 2.12).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 58% (odds 1.62).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.7%), then 2–1 (9.0%) and 1–0 (9.0%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim 5 NovLillestrøm vs Plzeň 5 NovNEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia 5 NovAC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC 5 NovReal Sociedad vs Lyon 5 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.