Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
ST Mirren v Dundee: 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at The SMISA Stadium (Paisley), with S. McLean refereeing. We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
ST Mirren vs Dundee: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. ST Mirren are 8th in the table, on 14 points after 12 matches (4W 2D 6L), and Dundee are 5th, on 17 points (5W 2D 4L).
- Head to head. From 28 meetings: 13 wins for ST Mirren, 10 wins for Dundee and 5 draws, with the goals at 38–34.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–1 score estimate, roughly 3 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 65%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 60% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 57% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 28; ST Mirren 13 wins, 5 draws, Dundee 10 wins.
- An average of 2.6 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 57%.
- Out: ST Mirren 0, Dundee 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 60%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for ST Mirren: no absences. Absent for Dundee: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
ST Mirren vs Dundee: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.32 | 3.70 | 3.05 |
| Market average | 2.26 | 3.57 | 2.95 |
| Lowest odds | 2.23 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.19 | 78.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.71 | 1.65 | 56.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.22 | 2.15 | 43.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.68 | 35.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.33 | 39.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 13:35. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.2%.
At a glance
- Likely result: ST Mirren 1–1 Dundee, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: ST Mirren 8th (14 points), Dundee 5th (17 points).
- H2H: 28 matches: ST Mirren 13W 5D 10L, goals 38–34.
- Absences: ST Mirren 0, Dundee 0.
Who will win ST Mirren vs Dundee?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
ST Mirren vs Dundee: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
ST Mirren vs Dundee: team news and absences
ST Mirren
- No reported absences
Dundee
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 | Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee United | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for ST Mirren vs Dundee?
Under 3.5 goals (1.50); ST Mirren or draw (1X) (1.42).
Who will win ST Mirren vs Dundee?
We estimate: ST Mirren win 42%, draw 26%, Dundee win 32%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: The SMISA Stadium, Paisley. Referee: S. McLean.
Who will be missing?
ST Mirren: no absences. Dundee: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.71); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 43% (odds 2.22).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.57).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.5%), then 2–1 (8.9%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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