Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
ST Johnstone v Motherwell: 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at McDiarmid Park (Perth). We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. ST Johnstone are 7th in the table, on 14 points after 12 matches (3W 5D 4L), and Motherwell are 9th, on 12 points (3W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. On average ST Johnstone score 1.1 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.5; for Motherwell the figures are 1.1 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. ST Johnstone: 3W 3D 4L, goals 11–15; Motherwell: 2W 2D 6L, goals 11–18.
- Head to head. From 58 meetings: 25 wins for ST Johnstone, 22 wins for Motherwell and 11 draws, with the goals at 78–82.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.1%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.70), and we rate it at 56%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 56% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 52% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 58; ST Johnstone 25 wins, 11 draws, Motherwell 22 wins.
- An average of 2.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: ST Johnstone 11–15, Motherwell 11–18.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 52%.
- Out: ST Johnstone 0, Motherwell 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 56%, best price 1.70). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for ST Johnstone: no absences. Absent for Motherwell: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.61 | 3.60 | 2.83 |
| Market average | 2.53 | 3.43 | 2.73 |
| Lowest odds | 2.45 | 3.32 | 2.65 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.24 | 75.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.86 | 1.82 | 52.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.03 | 1.99 | 47.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.05 | 30.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.66 | 55.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.14 | 2.09 | 44.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.5%.
At a glance
- Likely result: ST Johnstone 1–1 Motherwell, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: ST Johnstone 7th (14 points), Motherwell 9th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: ST Johnstone 3W 3D 4L (11:15), Motherwell 2W 2D 6L (11:18).
- H2H: 58 matches: ST Johnstone 25W 11D 22L, goals 78–82.
- Absences: ST Johnstone 0, Motherwell 0.
Who will win ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
ST Johnstone vs Motherwell: team news and absences
ST Johnstone
- No reported absences
Motherwell
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee United | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 | ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
ST Johnstone
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
ST JohnstoneDDLDWMotherwellWDLLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
ST Johnstone +0 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Both teams to score (1.70).
Who will win ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?
We estimate: ST Johnstone win 38%, draw 28%, Motherwell win 35%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 28 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: McDiarmid Park, Perth.
Who will be missing?
ST Johnstone: no absences. Motherwell: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.86); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 48% (odds 2.03).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 56% (odds 1.70).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.1%), then 1–0 (8.9%) and 0–1 (8.6%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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