Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Kilmarnock against ST Johnstone on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park (Kilmarnock). This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Kilmarnock are 11th in the table, on 9 points after 12 matches (2W 3D 7L), and ST Johnstone are 7th, on 14 points (3W 5D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average Kilmarnock score 1.0 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.4; for ST Johnstone the figures are 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Kilmarnock: 2W 2D 7L, goals 11–26; ST Johnstone: 3W 4D 4L, goals 13–17.
- Head to head. From 46 meetings: 16 wins for Kilmarnock, 21 wins for ST Johnstone and 9 draws, with the goals at 52–51.
What to expect
For us, Kilmarnock are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.2%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
What stands out is that the table favours the ST Johnstone, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 60% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 57% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 46; Kilmarnock 16 wins, 9 draws, ST Johnstone 21 wins.
- An average of 2.2 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Kilmarnock 11–26, ST Johnstone 13–17.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 57%.
- Out: Kilmarnock 0, ST Johnstone 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 60%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Kilmarnock: no absences. Absent for ST Johnstone: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.17 | 3.82 | 3.36 |
| Market average | 2.10 | 3.61 | 3.15 |
| Lowest odds | 2.00 | 3.20 | 2.71 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.18 | 78.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.65 | 57.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.20 | 42.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.70 | 2.61 | 35.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.34 | 39.7% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 13:17. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.2%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Kilmarnock 1–1 ST Johnstone, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Kilmarnock 11th (9 points), ST Johnstone 7th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Kilmarnock 2W 2D 7L (11:26), ST Johnstone 3W 4D 4L (13:17).
- H2H: 46 matches: Kilmarnock 16W 9D 21L, goals 52–51.
- Absences: Kilmarnock 0, ST Johnstone 0.
Who will win Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone: team news and absences
Kilmarnock
- No reported absences
ST Johnstone
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee United | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 | ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Kilmarnock
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
KilmarnockDLLWLST JohnstoneDDLDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone?
Kilmarnock -0.25 (Asian handicap) (2.00); Under 3.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone?
We estimate: Kilmarnock win 44%, draw 26%, ST Johnstone win 30%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, Kilmarnock.
Who will be missing?
Kilmarnock: no absences. ST Johnstone: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.70); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 43% (odds 2.30).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.57).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.2%), then 2–1 (9.3%) and 1–0 (8.6%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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