Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Dundee against Kilmarnock on 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at Dens Park (Dundee). Dundee (50%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Dundee are 5th in the table, on 17 points after 11 matches (5W 2D 4L), and Kilmarnock are 11th, on 9 points (2W 3D 7L).
- Attack and defence. On average Dundee score 1.4 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.2; for Kilmarnock the figures are 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Dundee: 4W 2D 4L, goals 14–12; Kilmarnock: 2W 2D 6L, goals 10–23.
- Head to head. From 38 meetings: 11 wins for Dundee, 10 wins for Kilmarnock and 17 draws, with the goals at 54–52.
What to expect
For us, Dundee are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.7%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.54), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 60% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 59% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 38; Dundee 11 wins, 17 draws, Kilmarnock 10 wins.
- An average of 2.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Dundee 14–12, Kilmarnock 10–23.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 59%.
- Out: Dundee 0, Kilmarnock 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 60%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Dundee: no absences. Absent for Kilmarnock: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.92 | 3.95 | 3.90 |
| Market average | 1.88 | 3.75 | 3.81 |
| Lowest odds | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.18 | 79.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.63 | 1.61 | 58.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.37 | 2.31 | 41.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.59 | 2.49 | 37.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.55 | 59.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.31 | 2.28 | 40.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Dundee 1–1 Kilmarnock, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Dundee 5th (17 points), Kilmarnock 11th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Dundee 4W 2D 4L (14:12), Kilmarnock 2W 2D 6L (10:23).
- H2H: 38 matches: Dundee 11W 17D 10L, goals 54–52.
- Absences: Dundee 0, Kilmarnock 0.
Who will win Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Dundee vs Kilmarnock: team news and absences
Dundee
- No reported absences
Kilmarnock
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 | Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee United | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Dundee
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
DundeeWLDWWKilmarnockDLLWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
Dundee -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Under 3.5 goals (1.54).
Who will win Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
We estimate: Dundee win 50%, draw 25%, Kilmarnock win 25%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 28 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Dens Park, Dundee.
Who will be missing?
Dundee: no absences. Kilmarnock: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.63); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 41% (odds 2.37).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.57).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.7%), then 2–1 (9.6%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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