Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Motherwell play ST Mirren at home on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at Fir Park (Motherwell). For us, Motherwell (51%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Motherwell vs ST Mirren: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Motherwell are 9th in the table, on 12 points after 12 matches (3W 3D 6L), and ST Mirren are 8th, on 14 points (4W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. On average Motherwell score 1.2 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.8; for ST Mirren the figures are 1.1 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Motherwell: 2W 3D 6L, goals 13–20; ST Mirren: 4W 2D 5L, goals 12–19.
- Head to head. From 48 meetings: 20 wins for Motherwell, 11 wins for ST Mirren and 17 draws, with the goals at 70–46.
What to expect
For us, Motherwell are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 60% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 59% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 48; Motherwell 20 wins, 17 draws, ST Mirren 11 wins.
- An average of 2.4 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Motherwell 13–20, ST Mirren 12–19.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 59%.
- Out: Motherwell 0, ST Mirren 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 60%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Motherwell: no absences. Absent for ST Mirren: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Motherwell vs ST Mirren: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.88 | 3.98 | 4.10 |
| Market average | 1.83 | 3.81 | 3.88 |
| Lowest odds | 1.78 | 3.37 | 3.36 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.17 | 79.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.66 | 1.59 | 58.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.32 | 2.26 | 41.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.64 | 2.51 | 37.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.56 | 59.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.30 | 40.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 13:17. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Motherwell 1–1 ST Mirren, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Motherwell 9th (12 points), ST Mirren 8th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Motherwell 2W 3D 6L (13:20), ST Mirren 4W 2D 5L (12:19).
- H2H: 48 matches: Motherwell 20W 17D 11L, goals 70–46.
- Absences: Motherwell 0, ST Mirren 0.
Who will win Motherwell vs ST Mirren?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Motherwell vs ST Mirren: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Motherwell vs ST Mirren: team news and absences
Motherwell
- No reported absences
ST Mirren
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee United | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Motherwell
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
MotherwellWDLLLST MirrenLDWLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Motherwell vs ST Mirren?
Motherwell -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Under 3.5 goals (1.55).
Who will win Motherwell vs ST Mirren?
We estimate: Motherwell win 51%, draw 25%, ST Mirren win 24%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: Fir Park, Motherwell.
Who will be missing?
Motherwell: no absences. ST Mirren: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.66); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 41% (odds 2.32).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.62).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.8%), then 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (9.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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