Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–5. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Angers against Marseille on 18 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stade Raymond-Kopa (Angers), and J. Pignard will referee. Marseille (49%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Angers vs Marseille: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Angers are 15th in the table, on 8 points after 9 matches (2W 2D 5L), and Marseille are 6th, on 15 points (5W 0D 4L).
What to expect
For us, Marseille are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.7%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.56), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 61% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 59% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 59%.
- Out: Angers 0, Marseille 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 61%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Angers: no absences. Absent for Marseille: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Angers vs Marseille: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.93 | 3.90 | 2.04 |
| Market average | 3.75 | 3.78 | 1.95 |
| Lowest odds | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.63 | 58.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.31 | 41.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.57 | 2.46 | 38.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.36 | 39.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 18/10/26, 12:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.5%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Angers 1–1 Marseille, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Angers 15th (8 points), Marseille 6th (15 points).
- Absences: Angers 0, Marseille 0.
Who will win Angers vs Marseille?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Angers vs Marseille: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Angers vs Marseille: team news and absences
Angers
- No reported absences
Marseille
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 | Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 | Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Angers vs Marseille?
Marseille +0 (Asian handicap) (1.53); Under 3.5 goals (1.56).
Who will win Angers vs Marseille?
We estimate: Angers win 26%, draw 25%, Marseille win 49%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 18 October 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers. Referee: J. Pignard.
Who will be missing?
Angers: no absences. Marseille: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.68); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 41% (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 61% (odds 1.57).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.7%), then 1–2 (9.6%) and 0–1 (8.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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