Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Udinese play AC Milan at home on 25 October 2026 · 19:45 at Bluenergy Stadium (Udine); the referee is Matteo Marcenaro. For us, AC Milan (53%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Udinese vs AC Milan: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Udinese are 19th in the table, on 5 points after 10 matches (1W 2D 7L), and AC Milan are 5th, on 21 points (6W 3D 1L).
- Attack and defence. On average Udinese score 1.3 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.3; for AC Milan the figures are 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Udinese: 1W 1D 5L, goals 9–16; AC Milan: 4W 3D 0L, goals 14–7.
- Head to head. From 33 meetings: 9 wins for Udinese, 15 wins for AC Milan and 9 draws, with the goals at 39–50.
What to expect
For us, AC Milan are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.4%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 54% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 51% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 33; Udinese 9 wins, 9 draws, AC Milan 15 wins.
- An average of 2.7 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Udinese 9–16, AC Milan 14–7.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 51%.
- Out: Udinese 5, AC Milan 6.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 54%, best price 1.80). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Udinese: D. Alaba, V. Bayo, I. Gueye, A. Zanoli, O. Solet. Absent for AC Milan: S. Chukwueze, M. Gabbia, M. Gila, D. Moreira, A. Rabiot, A. Saelemaekers. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Udinese vs AC Milan: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 4.95 | 3.84 | 1.86 |
| Market average | 4.55 | 3.65 | 1.80 |
| Lowest odds | 4.28 | 3.40 | 1.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.27 | 74.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.87 | 51.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 1.96 | 48.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.30 | 3.09 | 30.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.74 | 53.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.01 | 46.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Udinese 1–1 AC Milan, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Udinese 19th (5 points), AC Milan 5th (21 points).
- Form in the competition: Udinese 1W 1D 5L (9:16), AC Milan 4W 3D 0L (14:7).
- H2H: 33 matches: Udinese 9W 9D 15L, goals 39–50.
- Absences: Udinese 5, AC Milan 6.
Who will win Udinese vs AC Milan?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Udinese vs AC Milan: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Udinese vs AC Milan: team news and absences
Udinese
- D. Alabacalf injury · will miss the match
- V. Bayothigh injury · will miss the match
- I. Gueyeankle injury · will miss the match
- A. Zanolimuscle injury · will miss the match
- O. Soletmuscle injury · doubtful
AC Milan
- S. Chukwuezehip injury · will miss the match
- M. Gabbiathigh injury · will miss the match
- M. Gilaankle injury · will miss the match
- D. Moreirathigh injury · will miss the match
- A. Rabiotcalf injury · will miss the match
- A. Saelemaekersankle injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 | Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Udinese
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
UdineseLDLLLAC MilanWLWWDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Udinese vs AC Milan?
Over 2.5 goals (1.93); AC Milan to win (1.86).
Who will win Udinese vs AC Milan?
We estimate: Udinese win 21%, draw 26%, AC Milan win 53%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Bluenergy Stadium, Udine. Referee: Matteo Marcenaro.
Who will be missing?
Udinese: D. Alaba, V. Bayo, I. Gueye, A. Zanoli, O. Solet. AC Milan: S. Chukwueze, M. Gabbia, M. Gila, D. Moreira, A. Rabiot, A. Saelemaekers. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.93); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 49% (odds 2.06).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.4%), then 0–1 (11.4%) and 1–2 (9.7%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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