Bet with Freshbet →Bournemouth play Nottingham Forest at home on 21 November 2026 · 15:00 at Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth). For us, Bournemouth (48%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Bournemouth are 8th in the table, on 12 points after 9 matches (3W 3D 3L), and Nottingham Forest are 19th, on 6 points (1W 3D 5L).
What to expect
For us, Bournemouth are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and we rate it at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 55% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 53% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 53%.
- Out: Bournemouth 0, Nottingham Forest 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 55%, best price 1.75). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Bournemouth: no absences. Absent for Nottingham Forest: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.02 | 3.86 | 4.10 |
| Market average | 1.98 | 3.58 | 3.68 |
| Lowest odds | 1.83 | 3.15 | 3.18 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.25 | 75.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 1.82 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 2.03 | 47.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.00 | 31.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.69 | 55.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.12 | 2.08 | 44.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 03:43. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.0%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Bournemouth 1–1 Nottingham Forest, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bournemouth 8th (12 points), Nottingham Forest 19th (6 points).
- Absences: Bournemouth 0, Nottingham Forest 0.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest: team news and absences
Bournemouth
- No reported absences
Nottingham Forest
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Bournemouth
Home and away
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?
Nottingham Forest +0.5 (Asian handicap) (2.00); Both teams to score (1.75).
Who will win Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?
We estimate: Bournemouth win 48%, draw 26%, Nottingham Forest win 26%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 21 November 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth.
Who will be missing?
Bournemouth: no absences. Nottingham Forest: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.87); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 47% (odds 2.08).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 55% (odds 1.75).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.8%), then 1–0 (10.2%) and 2–1 (9.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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