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Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 14 · 21 November 2026 · 17:45

Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian: prediction, tip and odds, 21 November 2026, Scottish Premiership

1Dundee4.40
XDraw4.30
2Heart Of Midlothian1.70

Best price · Updated 5/11/26, 03:38

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It is Dundee against Heart Of Midlothian on 21 November 2026 · 17:45 at Dens Park (Dundee). Heart Of Midlothian (55%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.

Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian: tip and prediction
Handicap
Dundee +1.5 (Asian handicap)
1.50
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.55
Combo
Heart Of Midlothian + over 2.5 goals combined
2.52
40% · fair odds for the combo
65%Chance
1–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Heart Of Midlothian (X2): 78% probability, best odds 1.23.

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Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Dundee are 5th in the table, on 17 points after 11 matches (5W 2D 4L), and Heart Of Midlothian are 3rd, on 20 points (6W 2D 3L).
  2. Head to head. From 35 meetings: 11 wins for Dundee, 21 wins for Heart Of Midlothian and 3 draws, with the goals at 33–60.

What to expect

For us, Heart Of Midlothian are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–2 (9.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.55), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 60% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 62% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 35; Dundee 11 wins, 3 draws, Heart Of Midlothian 21 wins.
  2. An average of 2.7 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 62%.
  4. Out: Dundee 0, Heart Of Midlothian 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 60%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Dundee: no absences. Absent for Heart Of Midlothian: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price4.404.301.70
Market average4.274.081.69
Lowest odds4.203.901.67
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.181.1580.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.551.5161.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.522.4338.3%
Over 3.5 goals2.352.2941.3%
BTTS – yes1.571.5460.1%
BTTS – no2.392.3239.9%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 03:38. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.1%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Dundee 1–2 Heart Of Midlothian, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Dundee 5th (17 points), Heart Of Midlothian 3rd (20 points).
  • H2H: 35 matches: Dundee 11W 3D 21L, goals 33–60.
  • Absences: Dundee 0, Heart Of Midlothian 0.

Who will win Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Dundee22%
Draw23%
Heart Of Midlothian55%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals80.9% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.18
Likely
Draw or Heart Of Midlothian (X2)78.1% · fair odds 1.28 · best 1.23
Likely
Over 2.5 goals61.7% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.55
Likely
BTTS – yes60.1% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.57
Likely
Under 3.5 goals58.7% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.62
Possible
Heart Of Midlothian to win55.2% · fair odds 1.81 · best 1.70
Possible
Over 3.5 goals41.3% · fair odds 2.42 · best 2.35
Outsider
BTTS – no39.9% · fair odds 2.51 · best 2.39
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals38.3% · fair odds 2.61 · best 2.52
Outsider
Draw22.9% · fair odds 4.37 · best 4.30
Outsider
Dundee to win21.9% · fair odds 4.58 · best 4.40
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Correct score prediction

1 : 29.8%
1 : 19.8%
0 : 28.2%
0 : 18.2%
1 : 36.5%
2 : 25.9%

Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian: team news and absences

Dundee

  • No reported absences

Heart Of Midlothian

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Celtic129-1-227:1028
2Rangers117-3-119:924
3Heart Of Midlothian116-2-324:1720
4Falkirk125-3-415:1218
5Dundee115-2-417:1317
6Dundee United114-4-316:1616
7ST Johnstone123-5-415:1914
8ST Mirren124-2-612:2014
9Motherwell123-3-614:2012
10Aberdeen113-2-612:1411
11Kilmarnock122-3-713:289
12Hibernian112-2-711:178

Recent matches

Dundee

28 OctWDundee 3–1 Kilmarnock
24 OctLST Mirren 2–1 Dundee
17 OctDDundee 2–2 Rangers
10 OctWFalkirk 1–2 Dundee
19 SeptWDundee 2–1 Motherwell

Heart Of Midlothian

28 OctDHeart Of Midlothian 2–2 Rangers
25 OctWMotherwell 0–2 Heart Of Midlothian
22 OctLTrabzonspor 2–0 Heart Of Midlothian
18 OctLCeltic 7–1 Heart Of Midlothian
15 OctDHeart Of Midlothian 1–1 FC Nordsjælland

Home and away

Dundee at home6 matches: 3W 2D 1L, goals 11–7
Heart Of Midlothian away6 matches: 2W 1D 3L, goals 9–13

Head to head

All matches
11Dundee
3Draws
21Heart Of Midlothian
6/9/26 · Heart Of Midlothian 2–1 Dundee
21/3/26 · Heart Of Midlothian 1–0 Dundee
11/1/26 · Dundee 0–1 Heart Of Midlothian
1/11/25 · Heart Of Midlothian 4–0 Dundee
26/4/25 · Heart Of Midlothian 0–1 Dundee
7/3/25 · Heart Of Midlothian 3–1 Dundee

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.1%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Dundee +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.50); Over 2.5 goals (1.55).

Who will win Dundee vs Heart Of Midlothian?

We estimate: Dundee win 22%, draw 23%, Heart Of Midlothian win 55%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 21 November 2026, kick-off: 17:45, venue: Dens Park, Dundee.

Who will be missing?

Dundee: no absences. Heart Of Midlothian: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.55); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 38% (odds 2.52).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.57).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–2 as most likely (9.8%), then 1–1 (9.8%) and 0–2 (8.2%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

ST Johnstone vs Dundee 7 NovDundee United vs Motherwell 7 NovAberdeen vs Hibernian 7 NovST Mirren vs Rangers 7 NovHeart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk 8 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.

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