Bet with Freshbet →Estac Troyes play Le Havre at home on 20 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stade de l'Aube (Troyes). For us, Estac Troyes (46%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Estac Troyes vs Le Havre: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Estac Troyes are 16th in the table, on 8 points after 9 matches (2W 2D 5L), and Le Havre are 18th, on 2 points (0W 2D 7L).
What to expect
For us, Estac Troyes are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.7%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.45), and we rate it at 67%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 57% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 54% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 54%.
- Out: Estac Troyes 0, Le Havre 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 57%, best price 1.65). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Estac Troyes: no absences. Absent for Le Havre: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Estac Troyes vs Le Havre: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.10 | 3.82 | 3.62 |
| Market average | 2.05 | 3.61 | 3.47 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.23 | 76.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.83 | 1.77 | 54.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.14 | 2.10 | 45.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.94 | 2.86 | 33.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.63 | 57.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.22 | 2.19 | 42.7% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 03:22. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.5%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Estac Troyes 1–1 Le Havre, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Estac Troyes 16th (8 points), Le Havre 18th (2 points).
- Absences: Estac Troyes 0, Le Havre 0.
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Havre?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Estac Troyes vs Le Havre: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Estac Troyes vs Le Havre: team news and absences
Estac Troyes
- No reported absences
Le Havre
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 | Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Estac Troyes
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Estac Troyes vs Le Havre?
Estac Troyes +0 (Asian handicap) (1.57); Under 3.5 goals (1.45).
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Havre?
We estimate: Estac Troyes win 46%, draw 26%, Le Havre win 27%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 20 November 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Stade de l'Aube, Troyes.
Who will be missing?
Estac Troyes: no absences. Le Havre: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.83); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 46% (odds 2.14).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 57% (odds 1.65).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.7%), then 1–0 (9.7%) and 2–1 (9.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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