Bet with Freshbet →FC Augsburg v FSV Mainz 05: 22 November 2026 · 14:30 at WWK Arena (Augsburg). We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. FC Augsburg are 10th in the table, on 9 points after 8 matches (2W 3D 3L), and FSV Mainz 05 are 9th, on 10 points (3W 1D 4L).
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–1 (9.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.81), and we rate it at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 67% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 66% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 66%.
- Out: FC Augsburg 0, FSV Mainz 05 0.
Alternative tip: Draw or FSV Mainz 05 (X2)
Alternative tip: Draw or FSV Mainz 05 (X2) (probability 62%, best price 1.56). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for FC Augsburg: no absences. Absent for FSV Mainz 05: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.61 | 4.00 | 2.61 |
| Market average | 2.55 | 3.90 | 2.53 |
| Lowest odds | 2.50 | 3.80 | 2.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.11 | 84.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.44 | 65.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.76 | 2.76 | 34.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.14 | 45.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.39 | 66.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.85 | 2.80 | 33.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 17:11. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: FC Augsburg 1–1 FSV Mainz 05, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: FC Augsburg 10th (9 points), FSV Mainz 05 9th (10 points).
- Absences: FC Augsburg 0, FSV Mainz 05 0.
Who will win FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05: team news and absences
FC Augsburg
- No reported absences
FSV Mainz 05
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 | FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05?
FSV Mainz 05 +0 (Asian handicap) (1.98); Under 3.5 goals (1.81).
Who will win FC Augsburg vs FSV Mainz 05?
We estimate: FC Augsburg win 38%, draw 25%, FSV Mainz 05 win 38%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 22 November 2026, kick-off: 14:30, venue: WWK Arena, Augsburg.
Who will be missing?
FC Augsburg: no absences. FSV Mainz 05: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 66% (odds 1.44); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 34% (odds 2.76).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 67% (odds 1.40).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (9.6%), then 1–2 (8.2%) and 2–1 (8.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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