Bet with Freshbet →Hull City play Brighton at home on 22 November 2026 · 14:00 at MKM Stadium (Hull). For us, Brighton (62%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Hull City vs Brighton: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Hull City are 11th in the table, on 11 points after 9 matches (2W 5D 2L), and Brighton are 3rd, on 19 points (6W 1D 2L).
What to expect
For us, Brighton are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 0–2 (10.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 54% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 58% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 58%.
- Out: Hull City 0, Brighton 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, best price 1.72). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Hull City: no absences. Absent for Brighton: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Hull City vs Brighton: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 6.16 | 4.62 | 1.57 |
| Market average | 5.75 | 4.36 | 1.53 |
| Lowest odds | 5.22 | 3.90 | 1.47 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.19 | 78.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 1.67 | 57.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.31 | 2.28 | 42.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.64 | 2.61 | 36.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.73 | 53.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.02 | 46.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 03:43. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.0%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Hull City 0–2 Brighton, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Hull City 11th (11 points), Brighton 3rd (19 points).
- Absences: Hull City 0, Brighton 0.
Who will win Hull City vs Brighton?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Hull City vs Brighton: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Hull City vs Brighton: team news and absences
Hull City
- No reported absences
Brighton
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Hull City
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Hull City vs Brighton?
Over 2.5 goals (1.72); Brighton to win (1.57).
Who will win Hull City vs Brighton?
We estimate: Hull City win 16%, draw 22%, Brighton win 62%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 22 November 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: MKM Stadium, Hull.
Who will be missing?
Hull City: no absences. Brighton: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.72); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 42% (odds 2.31).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.75).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 0–2 as most likely (10.5%), then 0–1 (10.2%) and 1–2 (9.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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