Levante vs Elche: prediction, tip and odds, 23 November 2026, La Liga

Levante vs Elche betting prediction

Levante meets Elche in a fixture where the venue and recent form say more than the league table. The game is played at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, which holds 25534, with kick-off at 20:00 on 23 November 2026 in La Liga Matchweek 13. Our main pick is a home win that clears the handicap, and we also add a more conservative option on total goals.

Levante's home record and recent results

Levante sit 17th in this competition with 11 points from 12 matches. They have won 2, drawn 5 and lost 5, scoring 16 goals and conceding 21. These numbers reflect this competition alone, so the results listed below span all competitions and may not match the standings.

Levante's home record is what draws our attention. At the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia they have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2, netting 13 goals scored against 12 conceded. It is a side that picks up its fair share of home results without controlling games outright.

Levante have played five recent games across all competitions, opening with a 1-1 draw at Deportivo La Coruña, then a 3-1 win at home against Athletic Club, a 2-1 loss at Real Sociedad, a 0-2 home loss to Atlético Madrid and finally a goalless draw at Celta Vigo. Over that stretch they picked up 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, netting 5 times while letting in 6. Both sides found the net in 3 of the 5.

Elche away from home, and their scoring problem

Elche are 18th in this competition with 10 points from 12 matches: 2 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats, with 14 scored and 20 conceded. They are the side with the weaker overall record, but their away form is better than their position suggests. On the road they have won 2, drawn 3 and lost only 1, scoring 10 and conceding 6.

Elche average 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, and that gap is the figure to watch. Their attack has gone quiet, and the recent results make that plain. Across all competitions they have played five games: 0-0 at home against Celta Vigo, 0-0 away at Villarreal, a 3-0 victory at Rayo Vallecano, a 0-1 home loss to Valencia, and a 0-2 home loss to Real Betis.
That gives them 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with 3 goals scored and 3 conceded, and no goal scored in 4 of those games.

No earlier meeting and no reported absences

No earlier meeting between these two clubs is known, so no head-to-head record can guide the pick. Neither side has reported any injuries or suspensions. The call therefore rests on form, venue and price, and that is where we are glad to build our argument.

Pricing the handicap and our main tip

Bookmakers price Levante at a 44% chance of a straight win, with the best available odds at 2.26. A draw sits at 26% (3.99), and Elche at 31% (3.21). The overround on the 1X2 market comes to 5.8%. Expected goals point to roughly 2 for Levante and 1 for Elche, around 3 combined, and the most probable correct scores are 1-1 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.2%) and 1-0 (8.8%).

Our top selection is Levante -0.25 (Asian handicap) at 1.96, with a 51% chance in the market. We do not see Levante as big favourites. We believe they have the margin to beat the handicap, but we would stay away from them if the game ends level.

• Elche have won only 1 of their last 5 matches in all competitions.
• Levante are 17th in the table, a place above Elche.
• Levante have claimed 2 home wins in this competition so far.
• The market puts the handicap at a 51% chance.

The stake is split in two. One half backs Levante -0.5, which pays only if Levante win by at least one goal. The other half backs Levante +0: a Levante win pays out, a draw gives the money back, and a defeat takes it. If the match ends 1-1, one half is lost and the other is refunded. Home wins of 2-1 or 1-0 settle the wager in your favour, and 2-0 does too. Results of 1-2 or 0-1 lose the whole bet.

Under 3.5 goals is our number two selection, priced at 1.50 with a 64% chance according to the market. Our confidence in it is higher than in the headline pick, since it depends on the attacking habits of Elche rather than on a Levante victory. Levante went over 2.5 goals in just 2 of their last 5 games across every competition. Elche managed it in only 1 of theirs, and they registered a clean sheet in 3 of those same 5 outings. This wager cashes in on every one of the most probable scorelines we identified, namely 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-1 and 2-0, and loses only if four or more goals are scored.

Other bets worth a look on the card

• The double chance on Levante or draw, priced at 1.40 (69% probability), gives the same outlook with less risk. It pays out if Levante win or the match ends level, so it still lands on a 1-1 finish.
• Levante +0.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.40 (chance 68%) lands in every result except a defeat by at least one goal. That makes it a far less demanding ask of the side than the main pick.
• Over 1.5 goals at odds 1.22 (chance 78%) is a low-priced banker that sits comfortably beside our Under 3.5 tip, since two or three goals win both.

Levante are expected to get the better of Elche, most likely by one goal. Both of our selections hinge on one reading of the match: Elche have trouble finding the net. A draw is not something we would back as the central scenario, and no single result should carry a heavy stake.