Bet with Freshbet →NEC Nijmegen v PSV Eindhoven: 21 November 2026 · 15:30 at Goffertstadion (Nijmegen). We have PSV Eindhoven (62%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. NEC Nijmegen are 13th in the table, on 11 points after 11 matches (2W 5D 4L), and PSV Eindhoven are 3rd, on 23 points (7W 2D 2L).
What to expect
For us, PSV Eindhoven are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–2 (9.2%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.78), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 67% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 73% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 73%.
- Out: NEC Nijmegen 0, PSV Eindhoven 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 46%, best price 2.10). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for NEC Nijmegen: no absences. Absent for PSV Eindhoven: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 5.26 | 4.96 | 1.54 |
| Market average | 5.05 | 4.78 | 1.51 |
| Lowest odds | 4.80 | 4.50 | 1.49 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.10 | 1.07 | 87.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.28 | 72.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.45 | 27.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.78 | 1.75 | 54.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.38 | 67.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.89 | 2.83 | 32.7% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 03:20. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: NEC Nijmegen 1–2 PSV Eindhoven, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: NEC Nijmegen 13th (11 points), PSV Eindhoven 3rd (23 points).
- Absences: NEC Nijmegen 0, PSV Eindhoven 0.
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven: team news and absences
NEC Nijmegen
- No reported absences
PSV Eindhoven
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
PSV Eindhoven -1 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Over 3.5 goals (1.78).
Who will win NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven?
We estimate: NEC Nijmegen win 19%, draw 20%, PSV Eindhoven win 62%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 21 November 2026, kick-off: 15:30, venue: Goffertstadion, Nijmegen.
Who will be missing?
NEC Nijmegen: no absences. PSV Eindhoven: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 73% (odds 1.31); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 27% (odds 3.60).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 67% (odds 1.40).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–2 as most likely (9.2%), then 1–3 (7.5%) and 1–1 (7.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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