Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Paris FC against Rennes on 18 October 2026 · 16:15 at Stade Jean Bouin (Paris), and B. Dechepy will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Paris FC vs Rennes: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Paris FC are 4th in the table, on 17 points after 9 matches (5W 2D 2L), and Rennes are 5th, on 16 points (5W 1D 3L).
What to expect
For us, Paris FC are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.2%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 60% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 57% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 57%.
- Out: Paris FC 0, Rennes 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 60%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Paris FC: no absences. Absent for Rennes: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Paris FC vs Rennes: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.26 | 3.70 | 3.45 |
| Market average | 2.17 | 3.52 | 3.33 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.18 | 78.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 | 1.66 | 57.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.31 | 2.21 | 42.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.57 | 37.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.35 | 39.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 18/10/26, 13:01. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Paris FC 1–1 Rennes, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Paris FC 4th (17 points), Rennes 5th (16 points).
- Absences: Paris FC 0, Rennes 0.
Who will win Paris FC vs Rennes?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Paris FC vs Rennes: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Paris FC vs Rennes: team news and absences
Paris FC
- No reported absences
Rennes
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Paris FC vs Rennes?
Paris FC -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.94); Under 3.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win Paris FC vs Rennes?
We estimate: Paris FC win 44%, draw 27%, Rennes win 29%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 18 October 2026, kick-off: 16:15, venue: Stade Jean Bouin, Paris. Referee: B. Dechepy.
Who will be missing?
Paris FC: no absences. Rennes: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.73); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 43% (odds 2.31).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.57).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.2%), then 2–1 (9.3%) and 1–0 (8.6%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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