Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Torino play Monza at home on 23 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino (Turin); the referee is Andrea Zanotti, Italy. For us, Torino (45%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Torino vs Monza: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Torino are 10th in the table, on 13 points after 10 matches (4W 1D 5L), and Monza are 18th, on 7 points (2W 1D 7L).
- Attack and defence. On average Torino score 1.4 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.3; for Monza the figures are 1.9 scored and 2.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Torino: 3W 1D 3L, goals 10–9; Monza: 2W 1D 4L, goals 13–15.
- Head to head. From 9 meetings: 5 wins for Torino, 1 win for Monza and 3 draws, with the goals at 15–8.
What to expect
For us, Torino are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (12.0%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.70), and we rate it at 57%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 57% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 52% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 9; Torino 5 wins, 3 draws, Monza 1 win.
- An average of 2.6 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Torino 10–9, Monza 13–15.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 52%.
- Out: Torino 4, Monza 3.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 57%, best price 1.70). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Torino: N. Fortini, E. Ilkhan, F. Israel, R. Rodriguez. Absent for Monza: Y. Maye, M. Pessina, J. Ziolkowski. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Torino vs Monza: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.16 | 3.60 | 3.68 |
| Market average | 2.12 | 3.45 | 3.50 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.25 | 75.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.84 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.07 | 1.98 | 48.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.00 | 31.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.64 | 56.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.16 | 43.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 23/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Torino 1–1 Monza, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Torino 10th (13 points), Monza 18th (7 points).
- Form in the competition: Torino 3W 1D 3L (10:9), Monza 2W 1D 4L (13:15).
- H2H: 9 matches: Torino 5W 3D 1L, goals 15–8.
- Absences: Torino 4, Monza 3.
Who will win Torino vs Monza?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Torino vs Monza: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Torino vs Monza: team news and absences
Torino
- N. Fortinithigh injury · will miss the match
- E. Ilkhanmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Israelshoulder injury · will miss the match
- R. Rodriguezthigh injury · will miss the match
Monza
- Y. Mayemuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Pessinaknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Ziolkowskifoot injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 | Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Torino
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
TorinoLLWWWMonzaLLLWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Torino vs Monza?
Over 2.5 goals (1.91); Torino to win (2.16).
Who will win Torino vs Monza?
We estimate: Torino win 45%, draw 28%, Monza win 27%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 23 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin. Referee: Andrea Zanotti, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Torino: N. Fortini, E. Ilkhan, F. Israel, R. Rodriguez. Monza: Y. Maye, M. Pessina, J. Ziolkowski. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.91); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 48% (odds 2.07).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 57% (odds 1.70).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.0%), then 1–0 (10.4%) and 2–1 (9.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.