Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bologna play Monza at home on 31 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna); the referee is Andrea Zanotti. For us, Bologna (56%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Bologna vs Monza: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Bologna are 9th in the table, on 14 points after 10 matches (4W 2D 4L), and Monza are 18th, on 7 points (2W 1D 7L).
- Attack and defence. On average Bologna score 1.3 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.3; for Monza the figures are 1.8 scored and 2.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Bologna: 3W 2D 4L, goals 12–12; Monza: 2W 1D 6L, goals 16–22.
- Head to head. From 8 meetings: 5 wins for Bologna, 1 win for Monza and 2 draws, with the goals at 13–5.
What to expect
For us, Bologna are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and we rate it at 53%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 53% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 53% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 8; Bologna 5 wins, 2 draws, Monza 1 win.
- An average of 2.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Bologna 12–12, Monza 16–22.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 53%.
- Out: Bologna 4, Monza 4.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 53%, best price 1.80). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Bologna: L. De Silvestri, J. Enem, E. Holm, R. Piccoli. Absent for Monza: M. Folorunsho, Y. Maye, M. Pessina, J. Ziolkowski. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Bologna vs Monza: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.75 | 4.01 | 5.20 |
| Market average | 1.70 | 3.82 | 4.93 |
| Lowest odds | 1.67 | 3.41 | 4.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.25 | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.82 | 52.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 2.01 | 47.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.08 | 2.95 | 31.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.76 | 52.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 1.98 | 47.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 12:56. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Bologna 1–1 Monza, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Bologna 9th (14 points), Monza 18th (7 points).
- Form in the competition: Bologna 3W 2D 4L (12:12), Monza 2W 1D 6L (16:22).
- H2H: 8 matches: Bologna 5W 2D 1L, goals 13–5.
- Absences: Bologna 4, Monza 4.
Who will win Bologna vs Monza?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Bologna vs Monza: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Bologna vs Monza: team news and absences
Bologna
- L. De Silvestrimuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. EnemAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- E. Holmthigh injury · will miss the match
- R. Piccolihamstring injury · will miss the match
Monza
- M. Folorunshoabsence · will miss the match
- Y. Mayemuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Pessinaknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Ziolkowskifoot injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 | Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Bologna
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
BolognaWWWLWMonzaLLLWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Bologna vs Monza?
Over 2.5 goals (1.90); Bologna to win (1.75).
Who will win Bologna vs Monza?
We estimate: Bologna win 56%, draw 25%, Monza win 19%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna. Referee: Andrea Zanotti.
Who will be missing?
Bologna: L. De Silvestri, J. Enem, E. Holm, R. Piccoli. Monza: M. Folorunsho, Y. Maye, M. Pessina, J. Ziolkowski. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.90); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 47% (odds 2.06).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 53% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.9%), then 1–0 (10.9%) and 2–1 (9.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.