Venezia vs Udinese: prediction, tip and odds, 6 November 2026, Serie A

Venezia vs Udinese betting prediction

Venezia host Udinese at the Stadio Pierluigi Penzo on 6 November 2026, with a kick‑off time of 19:45 local. Both clubs are entrenched in the relegation zone of Serie A, Venezia sitting bottom on three points after ten matches and Udinese just above them on five points. The encounter is a classic battle of two struggling sides, and the statistical landscape offers several betting angles that merit close inspection.

Form of Venezia and Udinese

Venezia’s league form is stark: 1 win, 0 draws and 9 defeats from ten games, scoring only six goals while conceding twenty. This translates to an average of 0.6 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded per match. Udinese’s record is marginally better, with 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses, eleven goals for and twenty‑three against, giving them an average of 1.1 goals scored and 2.3 goals conceded per game. The disparity in attacking output is modest, but both teams leak goals at a high rate, underscoring the defensive frailties that have defined the early season.

Home and Away Records

At home, Venezia have managed just one victory and four defeats, scoring three goals and allowing ten. Their solitary home win came against an unnamed opponent earlier in the campaign, and the four losses have been heavy, highlighting a vulnerability when playing in front of their modest 11 150‑seat crowd. Udinese’s away form shows a single win, one draw and two defeats, with seven goals scored and nine conceded. The away win was secured against an opponent not listed here, while the draw and defeats illustrate that Udinese can pick up points on the road but often struggle to keep clean sheets.

Recent Matches – Opponent by Opponent

Venezia’s last five league outings illustrate a pattern of narrow margins:

• 1 November 2026 – Como 1‑0 Venezia (loss away)
• 28 October 2026 – Venezia 0‑2 Inter (home defeat)
• 25 October 2026 – Genoa 1‑0 Venezia (away loss)
• 17 October 2026 – Venezia 1‑0 Napoli (home win)
• 12 October 2026 – Atalanta 3‑1 Venezia (away defeat)

Udinese’s previous five matches reveal a mix of high‑scoring defeats and a solitary draw:

• 31 October 2026 – Udinese 2‑5 AS Roma (home loss)
• 28 October 2026 – Parma 0‑0 Udinese (away draw)
• 25 October 2026 – Udinese 0‑2 AC Milan (home loss)
• 18 October 2026 – Udinese 0‑3 Lecce (away loss)
• 12 October 2026 – Torino 2‑1 Udinese (away loss)

Both sides have struggled to find consistency, with Udinese’s most recent match producing a five‑goal haul for the opposition, while Venezia’s last victory was a 1‑0 home win over Napoli.

Head‑to‑Head (Last 5 Meetings)

The recent rivalry favours Udinese, who have won four of the last five meetings. The aggregate score across those fixtures is 12‑7 to Udinese. The individual results are:

• 2 September 2026 – Udinese 2‑1 Venezia
• 1 February 2025 – Udinese 3‑2 Venezia
• 30 October 2024 – Venezia 3‑2 Udinese
• 10 April 2022 – Udinese 2‑1 Venezia
• 27 August 2021 – Udinese 3‑0 Venezia

The only recent victory for Venezia came in October 2024, a 3‑2 home win, suggesting that while Udinese have the edge, Venezia are capable of breaching the defence when they find a breakthrough.

Absences

Venezia will be without midfielder M. Šverko. Udinese have no reported absences, meaning they can field a full squad.

Bookmakers’ Odds and Asian Handicap

Match‑result probabilities derived from the odds are: Venezia win 43 % (best odds 2.23), draw 26 % (3.78) and Udinese win 30 % (3.32). The Asian handicap market shows the highest implied probability on the level line: Venezia +0 at 60 % (odds 1.66). Other notable lines include Venezia +0.5 at 69 % (odds 1.40) and Udinese +0.75 at 62 % (odds 1.55). The spread of handicap options reflects the close nature of the contest, with the market leaning slightly towards a draw‑ish outcome.

Goals Markets

The total‑goals market is skewed towards lower scores. The probability of under 3.5 goals stands at 65 % (odds 1.47), while over 3.5 goals is only 35 % (odds 2.85). For the 2.5‑goal line, the chances are evenly split: under 2.5 goals at 44 % (odds 2.24) and over 2.5 goals at 56 % (odds 1.76). The 1.5‑goal line heavily favours over 1.5 goals (78 % chance, odds 1.23), indicating that at least two goals are likely, but the bulk of the probability remains under the 3.5 threshold.

Another tip: Both teams to score

The BTTS market shows a 59 % chance for both sides to find the net (odds 1.60) and a 41 % chance for a clean‑sheet for one team (odds 2.32). Given the defensive records—Venezia conceding 2.0 per game and Udinese 2.3 per game—the likelihood of both teams scoring is credible, especially considering Udinese’s recent five‑goal concession to Roma.

Expected Goals and Likely Scores

Expected goals (rounded) are 2 for Venezia and 1 for Udinese, suggesting a total of about three goals. The most probable exact scores, based on the model, are 1‑1 (11.4 % chance), 2‑1 (9.2 %) and 1‑0 (8.8 %). These outcomes align with the under 3.5 goals market and the level‑handicap recommendation.

Our Main Tip and Second Tip

Venezia +0 (Asian handicap) – odds 1.66, chance 60 %.

This selection is justified by Venezia’s home advantage—having secured their only win at the Stadio Pierluigi Penko—and the 60 % implied probability of the level‑handicap, which exceeds the draw probability (26 %). Udinese’s away record, while marginally better, still involves conceding nine goals in three matches, making the handicap a safer route than a straight win bet.

Under 3.5 goals – odds 1.47, chance 65 %.

Both teams average just over one goal per match (Venezia 0.6, Udinese 1.1) and concede heavily. The expected total of three goals, combined with a 65 % probability for the under 3.5 market, makes this a value play.

Other Bets Worth a Look

• Safer option: Both teams to score – Yes (odds 1.60, chance 59 %).
• Value alternative: BTTS – Yes offers a decent edge over the implied probability.
• Goals market: Over 1.5 goals (78 % chance, odds 1.23) is highly likely, but under 2.5 goals (44 % chance, odds 2.24) provides a higher return.
• Handicap alternative: Venezia +0.5 at 69 % (odds 1.40) for bettors seeking a stronger edge.
• Likely scores: 1‑1 (11.4 %), 2‑1 (9.2 %), 1‑0 (8.8 %).

In summary, the clash pits the league’s bottom‑placed side against the second‑bottom team, with both needing points to avoid the drop. Venezia’s home record, the level‑handicap probability, and the defensive trends suggest a tight, low‑scoring affair. Bettors should focus on the Venezia +0 Asian handicap and the under 3.5 goals market, while keeping an eye on the BTTS option as a secondary play.