Parma vs Bologna: prediction, tip and odds, 7 November 2026, Serie A

Parma vs Bologna betting prediction

The fixture takes place at the Stadio Ennio Tardini on 7 November 2026, with kick-off at 17:00, as part of Serie A Matchweek 11. Bologna arrive in 9th place and Parma sit 15th, a six-point difference that puts the visitors on 14 and the hosts on 8. Our view is that the odds-makers have the likely result pinned down, yet we feel less certain that the game will be high-scoring.

Parma's problems start at home

Looking at Parma's form in this competition alone, they have collected 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats in 10 games, scoring 8 times and conceding 15. Their home numbers at the Tardini read 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with just 3 goals scored and 6 let in. That is the baseline we would begin from.

Parma's recent form looks healthier on paper than it really is. Across the last five games in every competition, they have collected one win, one draw and three defeats, scoring 4 and shipping 8. The 3-0 victory on the road at Atalanta is the sole factor keeping that record from looking considerably grimmer. Prior to it, they played out a 0-0 stalemate at home against Udinese and suffered a 3-0 home loss to Torino. A single away success is not enough for us to believe Parma have genuinely turned things around.

Bologna's away record and recent results

Bologna have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats in this competition, with 14 goals scored and 13 conceded. The number that matters most to us is their away record: 3 wins, no draws and 2 defeats, with 8 goals scored and 5 conceded on the road.

Looking at every competition, the form is even more convincing. Bologna have collected four wins from their last five outings, with just one setback: a 1-3 loss at home against Inter. Following that defeat, they beat Cagliari 2-0 away, took down AC Milan 4-2 on the road, and edged Monza 2-1 in their own stadium. Victories of that calibre over tough opposition are the main reason we consider Bologna the team to back.

Meetings, and no fresh injury news

Across the last 19 head-to-head clashes, Parma have taken 4 wins, Bologna 6, and 9 have finished level. Parma have found the net 16 times in these matches, while Bologna have netted 25. The nine draws catch our eye, since they point to how frequently this rivalry has ended even instead of tilting toward one side.

Parma were the most recent winners in this fixture, claiming a 1-0 victory at Bologna on 8 February 2026. Bologna had the upper hand earlier in the season, beating Parma 3-1 at the Tardini on 2 November 2025. Neither club has any injury or suspension concerns to report, so both sides are expected to name their best available line-ups.

What the bookmakers expect and our main pick

Bologna are the market favourites with a 51% implied chance, and the best available odds on them are 1.89. Parma sit at 22% with best odds of 4.63, while the draw is priced at 27% with best odds of 3.68. Bookmakers build in a 5.9% overround on the 1X2 market. Among exact results, 0-1 (13.4%), 1-1 (12.0%) and 0-2 (10.4%) come out on top.

Bookmakers put Over 2.5 at a 44% chance and Under 2.5 at 56%, and they forecast around three goals in total. Our top selection is Under 2.5 goals at odds 1.79 (chance 56%). Parma have shut out opponents in two of their previous five games, so they are not always leaking goals, and the price on Under 2.5 is the strongest goals value we can find. This bet wins on 0-1, 1-1, 0-2, 0-0 and 1-0. It loses only on 1-2. We suggest limiting the wager to one unit.

Our second pick: Bologna to beat their opponent

Our pick here is the home side's rival: Bologna to win at 1.89 (51% chance). Bologna have collected 4 wins in their last 5 outings and dropped just one, whereas Parma have managed only 1 win in that same span. Bologna occupy 9th with 14 points, with Parma 15th on 8. In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Bologna have taken 6 victories to Parma's 4.

Winning scorelines here are 0-1, 0-2 and 1-2; losing ones are 1-1, 0-0 and 1-0. The outcomes are close to evenly balanced, so we recommend staking less on this selection than on our primary pick.

Lower-risk options for cautious bettors

Should you prefer not to lean on a single exact score, here are the markets we favour at the odds currently available:

• Draw or Bologna (X2) at odds 1.24 (chance 78%). This pick wins if the match ends level or Bologna takes it, so it fits well with our second tip.
• Bologna +0.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.23 (chance 78%). Only a Bologna defeat by one goal or more would make this bet lose.
• Under 3.5 goals is priced at 1.27 (76% chance). This pick lines up with our lead selection, as the total the bookmakers project, roughly three goals, falls comfortably below the line.
• Bologna -0.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.88 (chance 52%). Bologna needs to win outright, by at least one goal, which makes this a more demanding take on our second tip.

Steer clear of anything that depends on Parma scoring more than Bologna. Their home record gives no backing to that idea, and their latest results point the same way.

Bologna to edge it at the Tardini

Bologna are the side we back to collect all three points. Should the match stay low-scoring, Bologna's away record ought to carry them through.