Cagliari vs Frosinone: prediction, tip and odds, 7 November 2026, Serie A

Cagliari vs Frosinone betting prediction

Our selection is Frosinone +0.25 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.66, a bet the bookmakers' prices imply at a 59% chance. The match takes place at the Unipol Domus on 7 November 2026, with kick-off at 14:00, as part of Serie A Matchweek 11, where Cagliari are the home side against Frosinone. Across the market, Frosinone are rated the most probable winners at 39%, with Cagliari at 35% and the draw at 26%. We prefer to back the team with the stronger recent form rather than the side enjoying home advantage.

Frosinone's form against a Cagliari side without a win in their last five

The Serie A standings reflect only this competition, and they paint a clear picture. Frosinone have taken 6 wins from 10 matches, with 2 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 24 and conceding 14. Cagliari have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5, with 9 scored and 15 conceded. Frosinone average 2.4 goals a match, Cagliari 0.9.

Form is where this matchup really separates. Frosinone have taken 3 wins from their last 5, with 1 draw and 1 defeat, and their most recent outing was a 2-0 home win against Torino. Cagliari, by contrast, have no wins in their last 5. They shared a 1-1 draw with Juventus at home, while the other four ended in defeat, among them a 4-0 loss at Monza and a 4-2 loss at Roma. Over those same 5 matches across all competitions, Cagliari scored 4 goals and conceded 13. That points to a team that has been shipping goals badly, and we are not inclined to back them at a short price.

Goals at both ends and what the away record says

Frosinone have not been flawless. They let in 4 in a 4-4 draw at Atalanta, so their matches can swing. Even so, their away form in this competition reads 1 win, 2 draws and 1 defeat, with 8 scored and 8 conceded. That is not spectacular, but it is steadier than anything Cagliari have managed at home, where their league record stands at 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with 2 scored and 4 conceded.

Last meetings and one absence to note

Across the last 7 meetings, Cagliari have taken 3 wins and 3 draws to Frosinone's 1, and the scoring reads 13 goals for Cagliari against 10 for Frosinone. The most recent of those, a 4-1 Cagliari victory on 23 September 2025, carries the most weight in our view. Frosinone did win 3-1 at home back in January 2024, so the record alone does not decide the outcome.

Riyad Idrissi is missing from the Cagliari side, while Frosinone have no reported absences. Since we lack solid information on what Idrissi contributes to the team, we have not assigned his absence any weight in the analysis, to avoid producing a figure we cannot back up.

Why the Frosinone handicap is our choice

Frosinone are sixth on 20 points, while Cagliari sit twelfth on 13, a difference that matches their recent form. Bookmakers price Frosinone at an implied 59%, and the top available price is 1.66, which we consider good value. We divide the stake evenly between Frosinone +0 and Frosinone +0.5. On the +0 line, a Frosinone victory pays out, a draw refunds the stake, and a loss costs it. The +0.5 line wins in every outcome except a Frosinone defeat by one goal or more, so a level score still leaves us with some protection. Across the most probable scorelines: 1-1 pays back half the stake, 1-2 wins, 2-1 loses, 0-1 wins, 1-0 loses, and 2-2 pays back half the stake.

The second tip and the bets we like around it

Our both teams to score bet at 1.47 comes in as our second selection, with an estimated probability of 64%. Across their last five outings, each side has netted in three, while Frosinone have kept a clean sheet in just one. On the most probable scorelines, the wager pays out on 1-1, 1-2, 2-1 and 2-2, and loses on 0-1 and 1-0. We rate it highly, though the stake should be smaller than on our main pick, since Cagliari must find the net and have been finding it hard.

Beyond those, we fancy Frosinone +1 (Asian handicap) at 1.23 odds, with a 78% chance. Frosinone only fail to collect if they lose by two or more goals, and a one-goal loss gives the stake back. Frosinone +0.75 (Asian handicap) at 1.36, with a 70% chance, offers a more moderate route to backing the visitors: split the stake evenly between Frosinone +0.5 and Frosinone +1. Draw or Frosinone (X2) at 1.50, with a 65% chance, is the careful pick, since it rules out a Cagliari victory. Over 2.5 goals at 1.57, with a 61% chance, is reasonably priced rather than generous, so we would add it only as a small extra.

Frosinone sit higher in the table, have the stronger recent form and the more consistent away record, whereas Cagliari have not picked up a win in their last 5. That forms the basis of our reasoning, which is why we favour the Frosinone handicap.