Bet with Freshbet →Celtic play ST Mirren at home on 21 November 2026 · 15:00 at Celtic Park (Glasgow). For us, Celtic (81%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Celtic vs ST Mirren: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Celtic are 1st in the table, on 28 points after 12 matches (9W 1D 2L), and ST Mirren are 8th, on 14 points (4W 2D 6L).
- Head to head. From 47 meetings: 39 wins for Celtic, 3 wins for ST Mirren and 5 draws, with the goals at 122–25.
What to expect
For us, Celtic are the more likely winners. We estimate a 3–1 score, roughly 4 goals in all, with 3–0 (10.1%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
Odds of 1.18 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.75), which we rate at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 52% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 74% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 47; Celtic 39 wins, 5 draws, ST Mirren 3 wins.
- An average of 3.1 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 74%.
- Out: Celtic 0, ST Mirren 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 52%, best price 1.80). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Celtic: no absences. Absent for ST Mirren: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Celtic vs ST Mirren: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.18 | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| Market average | 1.15 | 7.74 | 14.20 |
| Lowest odds | 1.13 | 7.50 | 13.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.09 | 1.05 | 88.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.26 | 73.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.75 | 3.55 | 26.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.73 | 54.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.78 | 52.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.94 | 47.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 03:38. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Celtic 3–0 ST Mirren, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Celtic 1st (28 points), ST Mirren 8th (14 points).
- H2H: 47 matches: Celtic 39W 5D 3L, goals 122–25.
- Absences: Celtic 0, ST Mirren 0.
Who will win Celtic vs ST Mirren?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Celtic vs ST Mirren: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Celtic vs ST Mirren: team news and absences
Celtic
- No reported absences
ST Mirren
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee United | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Celtic vs ST Mirren?
Over 3.5 goals (1.75); Celtic to win (1.18).
Who will win Celtic vs ST Mirren?
We estimate: Celtic win 81%, draw 12%, ST Mirren win 7%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 21 November 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: Celtic Park, Glasgow.
Who will be missing?
Celtic: no absences. ST Mirren: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 74% (odds 1.30); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 26% (odds 3.75).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 52% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 3–0 as most likely (10.1%), then 2–0 (9.9%) and 3–1 (8.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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