Bet with Freshbet →It is Falkirk against ST Johnstone on 21 November 2026 · 15:00 at Falkirk Stadium (Falkirk). This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Falkirk vs ST Johnstone: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Falkirk are 4th in the table, on 18 points after 12 matches (5W 3D 4L), and ST Johnstone are 7th, on 14 points (3W 5D 4L).
- Head to head. From 3 meetings: 1 win for Falkirk, 1 win for ST Johnstone and 1 draw, with the goals at 2–2.
What to expect
For us, Falkirk are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and we rate it at 56%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 56% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 53% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 3; Falkirk 1 win, 1 draw, ST Johnstone 1 win.
- An average of 1.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 53%.
- Out: Falkirk 0, ST Johnstone 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 56%, best price 1.67). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Falkirk: no absences. Absent for ST Johnstone: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Falkirk vs ST Johnstone: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.12 | 3.55 | 3.40 |
| Market average | 2.09 | 3.47 | 3.29 |
| Lowest odds | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.23 | 75.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.83 | 1.79 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.02 | 2.00 | 47.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.92 | 32.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.65 | 56.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.12 | 43.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 03:38. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Falkirk 1–1 ST Johnstone, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Falkirk 4th (18 points), ST Johnstone 7th (14 points).
- H2H: 3 matches: Falkirk 1W 1D 1L, goals 2–2.
- Absences: Falkirk 0, ST Johnstone 0.
Who will win Falkirk vs ST Johnstone?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Falkirk vs ST Johnstone: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Falkirk vs ST Johnstone: team news and absences
Falkirk
- No reported absences
ST Johnstone
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 | Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee United | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 | ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Falkirk vs ST Johnstone?
Draw or ST Johnstone (X2) (1.75); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win Falkirk vs ST Johnstone?
We estimate: Falkirk win 45%, draw 27%, ST Johnstone win 28%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 21 November 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk.
Who will be missing?
Falkirk: no absences. ST Johnstone: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.83); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 47% (odds 2.02).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 56% (odds 1.67).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.9%), then 1–0 (9.9%) and 2–1 (9.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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