Bet with Freshbet →Lille play Lyon at home on 21 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Lille). For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Lille vs Lyon: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Lille are 2nd in the table, on 18 points after 9 matches (5W 3D 1L), and Lyon are 3rd, on 17 points (5W 2D 2L).
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.4%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and we rate it at 56%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 56% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 51% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 51%.
- Out: Lille 0, Lyon 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 56%, best price 1.75). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Lille: no absences. Absent for Lyon: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Lille vs Lyon: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.41 | 3.66 | 3.09 |
| Market average | 2.36 | 3.47 | 2.93 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.33 | 2.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.26 | 74.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.89 | 50.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.96 | 49.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.25 | 3.12 | 30.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.67 | 55.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.11 | 44.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 03:22. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Lille 1–1 Lyon, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Lille 2nd (18 points), Lyon 3rd (17 points).
- Absences: Lille 0, Lyon 0.
Who will win Lille vs Lyon?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Lille vs Lyon: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Lille vs Lyon: team news and absences
Lille
- No reported absences
Lyon
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Lille vs Lyon?
Lyon +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Both teams to score (1.75).
Who will win Lille vs Lyon?
We estimate: Lille win 40%, draw 27%, Lyon win 32%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 21 November 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille.
Who will be missing?
Lille: no absences. Lyon: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.95); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 49% (odds 2.00).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 56% (odds 1.75).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.4%), then 1–0 (9.9%) and 0–1 (8.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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