Bet with Freshbet →Lorient v Rennes: 22 November 2026 · 16:15 at Stade du Moustoir (Lorient). We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Lorient vs Rennes: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Lorient are 11th in the table, on 12 points after 9 matches (3W 3D 3L), and Rennes are 5th, on 16 points (5W 1D 3L).
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–2 score estimate, roughly 3 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.7%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.45), and we rate it at 66%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 59% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 55% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 55%.
- Out: Lorient 0, Rennes 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 59%, best price 1.60). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Lorient: no absences. Absent for Rennes: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Lorient vs Rennes: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.21 | 3.80 | 2.30 |
| Market average | 3.07 | 3.62 | 2.25 |
| Lowest odds | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.22 | 77.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.79 | 1.75 | 54.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.13 | 45.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.86 | 2.79 | 33.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.60 | 1.58 | 58.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.27 | 2.25 | 41.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 03:22. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.8%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Lorient 1–1 Rennes, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lorient 11th (12 points), Rennes 5th (16 points).
- Absences: Lorient 0, Rennes 0.
Who will win Lorient vs Rennes?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Lorient vs Rennes: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Lorient vs Rennes: team news and absences
Lorient
- No reported absences
Rennes
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Lorient
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Lorient vs Rennes?
Lorient +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.97); Under 3.5 goals (1.45).
Who will win Lorient vs Rennes?
We estimate: Lorient win 31%, draw 26%, Rennes win 43%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 22 November 2026, kick-off: 16:15, venue: Stade du Moustoir, Lorient.
Who will be missing?
Lorient: no absences. Rennes: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.79); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 45% (odds 2.18).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 59% (odds 1.60).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.7%), then 1–2 (9.0%) and 0–1 (9.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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