Bet with Freshbet →It is Monaco against Auxerre on 21 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stade Louis II (Monaco). Monaco (68%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Monaco vs Auxerre: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Monaco are 7th in the table, on 15 points after 9 matches (4W 3D 2L), and Auxerre are 14th, on 10 points (3W 1D 5L).
What to expect
For us, Monaco are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–0 (10.2%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 56% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 64% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 64%.
- Out: Monaco 0, Auxerre 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 57%, best price 1.73). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Monaco: no absences. Absent for Auxerre: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Monaco vs Auxerre: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.43 | 5.39 | 7.70 |
| Market average | 1.40 | 5.04 | 7.18 |
| Lowest odds | 1.38 | 4.75 | 6.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.13 | 82.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.47 | 64.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.66 | 35.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.21 | 43.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.67 | 55.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.12 | 44.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 03:22. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.2%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Monaco 2–0 Auxerre, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Monaco 7th (15 points), Auxerre 14th (10 points).
- Absences: Monaco 0, Auxerre 0.
Who will win Monaco vs Auxerre?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Monaco vs Auxerre: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Monaco vs Auxerre: team news and absences
Monaco
- No reported absences
Auxerre
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 11 |  Lorient | 9 | 3-3-3 | 7:8 | 12 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Monaco
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Monaco vs Auxerre?
Monaco -1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Over 2.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Monaco vs Auxerre?
We estimate: Monaco win 68%, draw 19%, Auxerre win 13%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 21 November 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Stade Louis II, Monaco.
Who will be missing?
Monaco: no absences. Auxerre: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 64% (odds 1.50); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 36% (odds 2.75).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 56% (odds 1.70).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–0 as most likely (10.2%), then 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (8.7%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.