Bet with Freshbet →It is Napoli against Torino on 21 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples). Napoli (65%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Napoli vs Torino: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Napoli are 8th in the table, on 14 points after 10 matches (4W 2D 4L), and Torino are 10th, on 13 points (4W 1D 5L).
What to expect
For us, Napoli are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–0 (11.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), and we rate it at 65%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 51% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 56% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 56%.
- Out: Napoli 0, Torino 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 56%, best price 1.76). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Napoli: no absences. Absent for Torino: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Napoli vs Torino: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.50 | 4.84 | 7.16 |
| Market average | 1.47 | 4.52 | 6.66 |
| Lowest odds | 1.44 | 4.10 | 6.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.22 | 77.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.72 | 55.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.24 | 2.17 | 44.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.87 | 2.72 | 34.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.83 | 51.0% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.90 | 49.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 03:12. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.5%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Napoli 2–0 Torino, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Napoli 8th (14 points), Torino 10th (13 points).
- Absences: Napoli 0, Torino 0.
Who will win Napoli vs Torino?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Napoli vs Torino: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Napoli vs Torino: team news and absences
Napoli
- No reported absences
Torino
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 | Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 | Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Napoli vs Torino?
Napoli -1 (Asian handicap) (1.82); Under 3.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win Napoli vs Torino?
We estimate: Napoli win 65%, draw 21%, Torino win 14%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 21 November 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples.
Who will be missing?
Napoli: no absences. Torino: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.76); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 44% (odds 2.24).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 51% (odds 1.85).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–0 as most likely (11.6%), then 1–0 (11.3%) and 2–1 (9.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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