Bet with Freshbet →Parma play AS Roma at home on 21 November 2026 · 17:00 at Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma). For us, AS Roma (71%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Parma vs AS Roma: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Parma are 15th in the table, on 8 points after 10 matches (2W 2D 6L), and AS Roma are 3rd, on 24 points (7W 3D 0L).
What to expect
For us, AS Roma are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 0–2 (12.0%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 49% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 59% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 59%.
- Out: Parma 0, AS Roma 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, best price 1.67). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Parma: no absences. Absent for AS Roma: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Parma vs AS Roma: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 9.00 | 5.39 | 1.40 |
| Market average | 8.63 | 5.18 | 1.34 |
| Lowest odds | 8.23 | 5.00 | 1.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.18 | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.62 | 59.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.41 | 2.35 | 40.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.52 | 2.49 | 38.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.90 | 49.1% |
| BTTS – no | 1.86 | 1.83 | 50.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 03:12. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Parma 0–2 AS Roma, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Parma 15th (8 points), AS Roma 3rd (24 points).
- Absences: Parma 0, AS Roma 0.
Who will win Parma vs AS Roma?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Parma vs AS Roma: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Parma vs AS Roma: team news and absences
Parma
- No reported absences
AS Roma
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 | Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Parma
Home and away
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Parma vs AS Roma?
Parma +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.95); Under 3.5 goals (1.55).
Who will win Parma vs AS Roma?
We estimate: Parma win 11%, draw 18%, AS Roma win 71%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 21 November 2026, kick-off: 17:00, venue: Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma.
Who will be missing?
Parma: no absences. AS Roma: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 59% (odds 1.67); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 41% (odds 2.41).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 49% (odds 1.95).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 0–2 as most likely (12.0%), then 0–1 (10.7%) and 1–2 (9.6%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.