Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Parma play Udinese at home on 28 October 2026 · 17:30 at Ennio Tardini (Parma); the referee is Davide Massa. For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Parma vs Udinese: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Parma are 15th in the table, on 8 points after 10 matches (2W 2D 6L), and Udinese are 19th, on 5 points (1W 2D 7L).
- Attack and defence. On average Parma score 0.6 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.9; for Udinese the figures are 1.1 scored and 2.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Parma: 1W 1D 6L, goals 5–15; Udinese: 1W 1D 6L, goals 9–18.
- Head to head. From 21 meetings: 9 wins for Parma, 8 wins for Udinese and 4 draws, with the goals at 30–31.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.8%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.80), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 53% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 46% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 21; Parma 9 wins, 4 draws, Udinese 8 wins.
- An average of 2.9 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Parma 5–15, Udinese 9–18.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 46%.
- Out: Parma 2, Udinese 5.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 53%, best price 1.80). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Parma: N. Elphege, L. Valenti. Absent for Udinese: D. Alaba, V. Bayo, I. Gueye, O. Solet, A. Zanoli. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Parma vs Udinese: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.87 | 3.27 | 2.83 |
| Market average | 2.75 | 3.11 | 2.72 |
| Lowest odds | 2.70 | 2.99 | 2.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.37 | 1.33 | 70.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.19 | 2.08 | 45.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.77 | 54.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.65 | 25.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.76 | 53.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.98 | 47.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 28/10/26, 16:28. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Parma 1–1 Udinese, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Parma 15th (8 points), Udinese 19th (5 points).
- Form in the competition: Parma 1W 1D 6L (5:15), Udinese 1W 1D 6L (9:18).
- H2H: 21 matches: Parma 9W 4D 8L, goals 30–31.
- Absences: Parma 2, Udinese 5.
Who will win Parma vs Udinese?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Parma vs Udinese: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Parma vs Udinese: team news and absences
Parma
- N. Elphegeillness · will miss the match
- L. Valentiabsence · will miss the match
Udinese
- D. Alabacalf injury · will miss the match
- V. Bayothigh injury · will miss the match
- I. Gueyeankle injury · will miss the match
- O. Soletmuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Zanolimuscle injury · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 | Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 | Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Parma
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
ParmaWDLLLUdineseLDLLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Parma vs Udinese?
Parma +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.54); Under 2.5 goals (1.80).
Who will win Parma vs Udinese?
We estimate: Parma win 35%, draw 31%, Udinese win 35%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 28 October 2026, kick-off: 17:30, venue: Ennio Tardini, Parma. Referee: Davide Massa.
Who will be missing?
Parma: N. Elphege, L. Valenti. Udinese: D. Alaba, V. Bayo, I. Gueye, O. Solet, A. Zanoli. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 46% (odds 2.19); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 54% (odds 1.80).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 53% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.8%), then 0–1 (10.3%) and 1–0 (10.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.