Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Cagliari play Bologna at home on 24 October 2026 · 14:00 at Unipol Domus (Cagliari); the referee is Kevin Bonacina, Italy. For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Cagliari vs Bologna: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Cagliari are 12th in the table, on 13 points after 10 matches (4W 1D 5L), and Bologna are 9th, on 14 points (4W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average Cagliari score 0.9 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.0; for Bologna the figures are 0.9 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Cagliari: 4W 1D 2L, goals 6–7; Bologna: 1W 2D 4L, goals 6–10.
- Head to head. From 28 meetings: 7 wins for Cagliari, 14 wins for Bologna and 7 draws, with the goals at 24–38.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (13.3%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.68), and we rate it at 58%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 50% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 42% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 28; Cagliari 7 wins, 7 draws, Bologna 14 wins.
- An average of 2.2 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Cagliari 6–7, Bologna 6–10.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 42%.
- Out: Cagliari 3, Bologna 3.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 50%, best price 1.91). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Cagliari: M. Felici, R. Idrissi, Y. Trepy. Absent for Bologna: E. Holm, R. Orsolini, R. Piccoli. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Cagliari vs Bologna: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.05 | 3.05 | 2.78 |
| Market average | 2.93 | 2.97 | 2.69 |
| Lowest odds | 2.88 | 2.80 | 2.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.40 | 67.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.39 | 2.28 | 41.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.63 | 58.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.50 | 4.22 | 22.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.86 | 50.1% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.87 | 49.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 12:03. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Cagliari 1–1 Bologna, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Cagliari 12th (13 points), Bologna 9th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Cagliari 4W 1D 2L (6:7), Bologna 1W 2D 4L (6:10).
- H2H: 28 matches: Cagliari 7W 7D 14L, goals 24–38.
- Absences: Cagliari 3, Bologna 3.
Who will win Cagliari vs Bologna?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Cagliari vs Bologna: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Cagliari vs Bologna: team news and absences
Cagliari
- M. Feliciknee injury · will miss the match
- R. Idrissiknee injury · will miss the match
- Y. Trepyinjury · will miss the match
Bologna
- E. Holmthigh injury · will miss the match
- R. Orsolinithigh injury · will miss the match
- R. Piccolihamstring injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 | Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Cagliari
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
CagliariLLLLDBolognaWWWLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Cagliari vs Bologna?
Bologna +0 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Under 2.5 goals (1.68).
Who will win Cagliari vs Bologna?
We estimate: Cagliari win 33%, draw 32%, Bologna win 35%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: Unipol Domus, Cagliari. Referee: Kevin Bonacina, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Cagliari: M. Felici, R. Idrissi, Y. Trepy. Bologna: E. Holm, R. Orsolini, R. Piccoli. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.39); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 58% (odds 1.68).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 50% (odds 1.91).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (13.3%), then 0–1 (12.1%) and 1–0 (11.6%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.