Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Udinese v Lecce: 18 October 2026 · 11:30 at Bluenergy Stadium (Udine), with Marco Guida, Italy refereeing. We have Udinese (52%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Udinese vs Lecce: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Udinese are 19th in the table, on 5 points after 10 matches (1W 2D 7L), and Lecce are 14th, on 9 points (3W 0D 7L).
What to expect
For us, Udinese are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–0 (12.5%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
What stands out is that the table favours the Lecce, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.87), and we rate it at 53%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 50% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 47% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 47%.
- Out: Udinese 0, Lecce 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – no
Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 50%, best price 1.87). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Udinese: no absences. Absent for Lecce: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Udinese vs Lecce: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.86 | 3.68 | 4.84 |
| Market average | 1.82 | 3.55 | 4.61 |
| Lowest odds | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.33 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.31 | 71.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 2.03 | 47.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 1.81 | 52.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.55 | 26.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.87 | 49.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.87 | 1.84 | 50.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 18/10/26, 09:04. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Udinese 1–0 Lecce, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Udinese 19th (5 points), Lecce 14th (9 points).
- Absences: Udinese 0, Lecce 0.
Who will win Udinese vs Lecce?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Udinese vs Lecce: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Udinese vs Lecce: team news and absences
Udinese
- No reported absences
Lecce
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 | Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 | Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Udinese vs Lecce?
Under 2.5 goals (1.87); Udinese to win (1.86).
Who will win Udinese vs Lecce?
We estimate: Udinese win 52%, draw 27%, Lecce win 21%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 18 October 2026, kick-off: 11:30, venue: Bluenergy Stadium, Udine. Referee: Marco Guida, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Udinese: no absences. Lecce: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.08); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 53% (odds 1.87).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 50% (odds 1.95).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–0 as most likely (12.5%), then 1–1 (11.9%) and 2–0 (10.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.