Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Genoa play Venezia at home on 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at Luigi Ferraris (Genoa); the referee is Simone Sozza. For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Genoa vs Venezia: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Genoa are 11th in the table, on 13 points after 10 matches (4W 1D 5L), and Venezia are 20th, on 3 points (1W 0D 9L).
- Attack and defence. On average Genoa score 0.7 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.9; for Venezia the figures are 0.9 scored and 2.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Genoa: 1W 1D 5L, goals 5–13; Venezia: 1W 0D 6L, goals 6–16.
- Head to head. From 9 meetings: 5 wins for Genoa, 2 wins for Venezia and 2 draws, with the goals at 11–9.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.5%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 54% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 48% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 9; Genoa 5 wins, 2 draws, Venezia 2 wins.
- An average of 2.2 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Genoa 5–13, Venezia 6–16.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 48%.
- Out: Genoa 3, Venezia 4.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 54%, best price 1.80). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Genoa: E. Havel, D. Sow, L. Venturino. Absent for Venezia: A. Adorante, T. Correia, B. Franjic, M. Sverko. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Genoa vs Venezia: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.28 | 3.35 | 3.68 |
| Market average | 2.21 | 3.25 | 3.49 |
| Lowest odds | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.31 | 71.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.07 | 1.99 | 47.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.89 | 1.82 | 52.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.56 | 3.34 | 28.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.74 | 53.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.01 | 46.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 12:54. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Genoa 1–1 Venezia, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Genoa 11th (13 points), Venezia 20th (3 points).
- Form in the competition: Genoa 1W 1D 5L (5:13), Venezia 1W 0D 6L (6:16).
- H2H: 9 matches: Genoa 5W 2D 2L, goals 11–9.
- Absences: Genoa 3, Venezia 4.
Who will win Genoa vs Venezia?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Genoa vs Venezia: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Genoa vs Venezia: team news and absences
Genoa
- E. Havelankle injury · will miss the match
- D. Sowthigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Venturinoknee injury · will miss the match
Venezia
- A. Adoranteabsence · will miss the match
- T. Correiathigh injury · will miss the match
- B. Franjicshoulder injury · will miss the match
- M. Sverkohip injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 | Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Genoa
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
GenoaWWWLWVeneziaLLLWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Genoa vs Venezia?
Genoa +0 (Asian handicap) (1.61); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win Genoa vs Venezia?
We estimate: Genoa win 43%, draw 29%, Venezia win 27%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: Luigi Ferraris, Genoa. Referee: Simone Sozza.
Who will be missing?
Genoa: E. Havel, D. Sow, L. Venturino. Venezia: A. Adorante, T. Correia, B. Franjic, M. Sverko. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.07); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 52% (odds 1.89).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.5%), then 1–0 (11.3%) and 2–1 (9.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.