Bet with Freshbet →Bayer Leverkusen v SC Paderborn 07: 21 November 2026 · 14:30 at BayArena (Leverkusen). We have Bayer Leverkusen (76%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Bayer Leverkusen are 6th in the table, on 13 points after 8 matches (4W 1D 3L), and SC Paderborn 07 are 14th, on 9 points (2W 3D 3L).
What to expect
For us, Bayer Leverkusen are the more likely winners. We estimate a 3–1 score, roughly 4 goals in all, with 2–1 (8.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
Odds of 1.29 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: Both teams to score (odds 1.57), which we rate at 60%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 60% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 75% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 75%.
- Out: Bayer Leverkusen 0, SC Paderborn 07 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 60%, best price 1.57). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Bayer Leverkusen: no absences. Absent for SC Paderborn 07: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.29 | 7.07 | 10.30 |
| Market average | 1.26 | 6.52 | 9.80 |
| Lowest odds | 1.25 | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.07 | 1.05 | 88.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.26 | 74.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.75 | 3.71 | 25.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.71 | 56.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.55 | 60.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.33 | 40.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 17:11. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 SC Paderborn 07, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Bayer Leverkusen 6th (13 points), SC Paderborn 07 14th (9 points).
- Absences: Bayer Leverkusen 0, SC Paderborn 07 0.
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07: team news and absences
Bayer Leverkusen
- No reported absences
SC Paderborn 07
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 |  Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 | SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07?
Bayer Leverkusen -1.75 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Both teams to score (1.57).
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07?
We estimate: Bayer Leverkusen win 76%, draw 15%, SC Paderborn 07 win 10%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 21 November 2026, kick-off: 14:30, venue: BayArena, Leverkusen.
Who will be missing?
Bayer Leverkusen: no absences. SC Paderborn 07: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 75% (odds 1.28); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 25% (odds 3.75).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.57).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (8.5%), then 2–0 (8.5%) and 3–1 (8.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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