Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 5–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Frosinone v Lecce: 29 October 2026 · 17:30 at PSC Arena (Frosinone), with Rosario Abisso refereeing. We have Frosinone (57%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Frosinone vs Lecce: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Frosinone are 6th in the table, on 20 points after 10 matches (6W 2D 2L), and Lecce are 14th, on 9 points (3W 0D 7L).
- Attack and defence. On average Frosinone score 2.1 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.6; for Lecce the figures are 1.1 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Frosinone: 4W 2D 2L, goals 17–13; Lecce: 3W 0D 5L, goals 9–14.
- Head to head. From 7 meetings: 1 win for Frosinone, 3 wins for Lecce and 3 draws, with the goals at 9–10.
What to expect
For us, Frosinone are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.4%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.96), and we rate it at 50%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 68% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 69% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 7; Frosinone 1 win, 3 draws, Lecce 3 wins.
- An average of 2.7 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Frosinone 17–13, Lecce 9–14.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 69%.
- Out: Frosinone 1, Lecce 5.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 50%, best price 1.99). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Frosinone: F. Grillitsch. Absent for Lecce: M. Berisha, L. Coulibaly, K. Gaspar, I. Ilic, S. Pierotti. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Frosinone vs Lecce: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.75 | 4.42 | 4.82 |
| Market average | 1.68 | 4.27 | 4.54 |
| Lowest odds | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.28 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.09 | 86.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.38 | 1.35 | 69.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.08 | 30.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.96 | 1.91 | 50.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.37 | 67.6% |
| BTTS – no | 3.00 | 2.88 | 32.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 29/10/26, 16:21. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.0%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Frosinone 2–1 Lecce, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Frosinone 6th (20 points), Lecce 14th (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Frosinone 4W 2D 2L (17:13), Lecce 3W 0D 5L (9:14).
- H2H: 7 matches: Frosinone 1W 3D 3L, goals 9–10.
- Absences: Frosinone 1, Lecce 5.
Who will win Frosinone vs Lecce?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Frosinone vs Lecce: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Frosinone vs Lecce: team news and absences
Frosinone
- F. Grillitschthigh injury · will miss the match
Lecce
- M. Berishathigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Coulibalythigh injury · will miss the match
- K. Gasparred card · will miss the match
- I. Ilicthigh injury · will miss the match
- S. Pierottiankle injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 | Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Frosinone
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
FrosinoneWWDWLLecceLLLWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Frosinone vs Lecce?
Frosinone to win (1.75); Over 3.5 goals (1.96).
Who will win Frosinone vs Lecce?
We estimate: Frosinone win 57%, draw 22%, Lecce win 21%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 29 October 2026, kick-off: 17:30, venue: PSC Arena, Frosinone. Referee: Rosario Abisso.
Who will be missing?
Frosinone: F. Grillitsch. Lecce: M. Berisha, L. Coulibaly, K. Gaspar, I. Ilic, S. Pierotti. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 69% (odds 1.38); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 31% (odds 3.20).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 68% (odds 1.40).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.4%), then 1–1 (8.5%) and 2–0 (7.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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