Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Frosinone against Sassuolo on 16 October 2026 · 19:45 at PSC Arena (Frosinone), and Matteo Marchetti, Italy will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Frosinone vs Sassuolo: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Frosinone are 6th in the table, on 20 points after 10 matches (6W 2D 2L), and Sassuolo are 17th, on 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
- Head to head. From 10 meetings: 3 wins for Frosinone, 4 wins for Sassuolo and 3 draws, with the goals at 15–15.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–1 (9.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.92), and we rate it at 52%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 69% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 67% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 10; Frosinone 3 wins, 3 draws, Sassuolo 4 wins.
- An average of 3.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 67%.
- Out: Frosinone 0, Sassuolo 0.
Alternative tip: Frosinone or draw (1X)
Alternative tip: Frosinone or draw (1X) (probability 64%, best price 1.50). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Frosinone: no absences. Absent for Sassuolo: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Frosinone vs Sassuolo: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.55 | 3.90 | 2.80 |
| Market average | 2.45 | 3.75 | 2.69 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.10 | 84.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.40 | 66.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.99 | 2.83 | 33.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.00 | 47.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.34 | 69.1% |
| BTTS – no | 3.20 | 3.01 | 30.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 16/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Frosinone 1–1 Sassuolo, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Frosinone 6th (20 points), Sassuolo 17th (8 points).
- H2H: 10 matches: Frosinone 3W 3D 4L, goals 15–15.
- Absences: Frosinone 0, Sassuolo 0.
Who will win Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Frosinone vs Sassuolo: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Frosinone vs Sassuolo: team news and absences
Frosinone
- No reported absences
Sassuolo
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Frosinone
Home and away
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
Under 3.5 goals (1.92); Frosinone or draw (1X) (1.50).
Who will win Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
We estimate: Frosinone win 39%, draw 25%, Sassuolo win 36%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 16 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: PSC Arena, Frosinone. Referee: Matteo Marchetti, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Frosinone: no absences. Sassuolo: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 67% (odds 1.44); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 33% (odds 2.99).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 69% (odds 1.40).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (9.6%), then 2–1 (8.4%) and 1–2 (8.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.