Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lecce v Juventus: 25 October 2026 · 17:00 at Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce), with Fabio Maresca refereeing. We have Juventus (62%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Lecce vs Juventus: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Lecce are 14th in the table, on 9 points after 10 matches (3W 0D 7L), and Juventus are 7th, on 17 points (5W 2D 3L).
- Attack and defence. On average Lecce score 1.3 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.7; for Juventus the figures are 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Lecce: 3W 0D 4L, goals 9–12; Juventus: 3W 2D 2L, goals 9–8.
- Head to head. From 15 meetings: 1 win for Lecce, 10 wins for Juventus and 4 draws, with the goals at 8–25.
What to expect
For us, Juventus are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 0–1 (12.1%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.94), and we rate it at 52%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 49% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 52% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 15; Lecce 1 win, 4 draws, Juventus 10 wins.
- An average of 2.2 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Lecce 9–12, Juventus 9–8.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 52%.
- Out: Lecce 4, Juventus 9.
Alternative tip: BTTS – no
Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 51%, best price 1.95). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Lecce: M. Berisha, L. Coulibaly, I. Ilic, S. Pierotti. Absent for Juventus: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, J. Ekhator, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Lecce vs Juventus: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 6.80 | 4.40 | 1.58 |
| Market average | 6.42 | 4.15 | 1.53 |
| Lowest odds | 5.99 | 3.90 | 1.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.26 | 74.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.85 | 51.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.02 | 1.97 | 48.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.31 | 3.04 | 30.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.93 | 1.89 | 49.3% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.84 | 50.7% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 16:39. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.0%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Lecce 0–1 Juventus, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lecce 14th (9 points), Juventus 7th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Lecce 3W 0D 4L (9:12), Juventus 3W 2D 2L (9:8).
- H2H: 15 matches: Lecce 1W 4D 10L, goals 8–25.
- Absences: Lecce 4, Juventus 9.
Who will win Lecce vs Juventus?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Lecce vs Juventus: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Lecce vs Juventus: team news and absences
Lecce
- M. Berishathigh injury · will miss the match
- L. Coulibalythigh injury · will miss the match
- I. Ilicthigh injury · will miss the match
- S. Pierottiankle injury · will miss the match
Juventus
- Z. Celikmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Conceicaoshoulder injury · will miss the match
- J. Ekhatormuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Gonzalezcalf injury · will miss the match
- K. Grabaraknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Locatelliknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Miliknot in the squad · will miss the match
- K. Thuramknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Yildizfoot injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 | |
| 2 | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 | |
| 4 | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 | |
| 6 | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 | |
| 7 | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 | |
| 12 | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 | |
| 17 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 | |
| 18 | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 | |
| 19 | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 | |
| 20 | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Lecce
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Lecce vs Juventus?
Lecce +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.62); Over 2.5 goals (1.94).
Who will win Lecce vs Juventus?
We estimate: Lecce win 15%, draw 23%, Juventus win 62%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 17:00, venue: Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce. Referee: Fabio Maresca.
Who will be missing?
Lecce: M. Berisha, L. Coulibaly, I. Ilic, S. Pierotti. Juventus: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, J. Ekhator, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.94); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 48% (odds 2.02).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 49% (odds 1.93).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 0–1 as most likely (12.1%), then 0–2 (11.5%) and 1–1 (10.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.
Bet with Freshbet →