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Serie A · Matchweek 8 · 25 October 2026 · 17:00

Lecce vs Juventus: prediction, tip and odds, 25 October 2026, Serie A

LLLWL
0–2
1Lecce6.80
XDraw4.40
2Juventus1.58

Best price · Updated 25/10/26, 16:39

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Lecce v Juventus: 25 October 2026 · 17:00 at Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce), with Fabio Maresca refereeing. We have Juventus (62%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Lecce vs Juventus: tip and prediction
Handicap
Lecce +1.5 (Asian handicap)
1.62
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.94
Combo
Juventus + over 2.5 goals combined
2.60
38% · fair odds for the combo
62%Chance
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Juventus (X2): 85% probability, best odds 1.15.

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Lecce vs Juventus: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Lecce are 14th in the table, on 9 points after 10 matches (3W 0D 7L), and Juventus are 7th, on 17 points (5W 2D 3L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average Lecce score 1.3 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.7; for Juventus the figures are 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Lecce: 3W 0D 4L, goals 9–12; Juventus: 3W 2D 2L, goals 9–8.
  4. Head to head. From 15 meetings: 1 win for Lecce, 10 wins for Juventus and 4 draws, with the goals at 8–25.

What to expect

For us, Juventus are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 0–1 (12.1%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.94), and we rate it at 52%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 49% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 52% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 15; Lecce 1 win, 4 draws, Juventus 10 wins.
  2. An average of 2.2 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Lecce 9–12, Juventus 9–8.
  4. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 52%.
  5. Out: Lecce 4, Juventus 9.

Alternative tip: BTTS – no

Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 51%, best price 1.95). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Lecce: M. Berisha, L. Coulibaly, I. Ilic, S. Pierotti. Absent for Juventus: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, J. Ekhator, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Lecce vs Juventus: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price6.804.401.58
Market average6.424.151.53
Lowest odds5.993.901.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.301.2674.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.941.8551.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.021.9748.5%
Over 3.5 goals3.313.0430.9%
BTTS – yes1.931.8949.3%
BTTS – no1.951.8450.7%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 16:39. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.0%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Lecce 0–1 Juventus, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Lecce 14th (9 points), Juventus 7th (17 points).
  • Form in the competition: Lecce 3W 0D 4L (9:12), Juventus 3W 2D 2L (9:8).
  • H2H: 15 matches: Lecce 1W 4D 10L, goals 8–25.
  • Absences: Lecce 4, Juventus 9.

Who will win Lecce vs Juventus?

Lecce15%
Draw23%
Juventus62%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Lecce vs Juventus: more betting tips

Draw or Juventus (X2)85.1% · fair odds 1.17 · best 1.15
Likely
Over 1.5 goals74.2% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.30
Likely
Under 3.5 goals69.1% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.40
Likely
Juventus to win62.2% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.58
Likely
Over 2.5 goals51.5% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.94
Possible
BTTS – no50.7% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.95
Possible
BTTS – yes49.3% · fair odds 2.03 · best 1.93
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals48.5% · fair odds 2.06 · best 2.02
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals30.9% · fair odds 3.23 · best 3.31
Outsider
Draw23.0% · fair odds 4.35 · best 4.40
Outsider
Lecce to win14.9% · fair odds 6.73 · best 6.80
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.87 · Under 1.89
probability of over 50.2%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.80 · Under 1.97
probability of over 52.2%

Correct score prediction

0 : 112.1%
0 : 211.5%
1 : 110.3%
1 : 29.8%
0 : 37.3%
0 : 06.4%

Lecce vs Juventus: team news and absences

Lecce

  • M. Berishathigh injury · will miss the match
  • L. Coulibalythigh injury · will miss the match
  • I. Ilicthigh injury · will miss the match
  • S. Pierottiankle injury · will miss the match

Juventus

  • Z. Celikmuscle injury · will miss the match
  • F. Conceicaoshoulder injury · will miss the match
  • J. Ekhatormuscle injury · will miss the match
  • N. Gonzalezcalf injury · will miss the match
  • K. Grabaraknee injury · will miss the match
  • M. Locatelliknee injury · will miss the match
  • A. Miliknot in the squad · will miss the match
  • K. Thuramknee injury · will miss the match
  • K. Yildizfoot injury · will miss the match

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Lazio109-1-024:828
2Inter108-1-126:1325
3AS Roma107-3-028:1024
4Como107-2-118:823
5AC Milan106-3-121:1221
6Frosinone106-2-224:1420
7Juventus105-2-313:1017
8Napoli104-2-417:1314
9Bologna104-2-414:1314
10Torino104-1-514:1613
11Genoa104-1-510:1413
12Cagliari104-1-59:1513
13Atalanta103-2-516:2011
14Lecce103-0-711:219
15Parma102-2-68:158
16Fiorentina102-2-615:238
17Sassuolo102-2-616:268
18Monza102-1-717:247
19Udinese101-2-711:235
20Venezia101-0-96:203

Recent matches

Lecce

1 NovLLecce 1–2 Genoa
29 OctLFrosinone 5–1 Lecce
25 OctLLecce 0–2 Juventus
18 OctWUdinese 0–3 Lecce
11 OctLLecce 1–2 Bologna

Juventus

1 NovWJuventus 2–0 Napoli
28 OctLGenoa 2–0 Juventus
25 OctWLecce 0–2 Juventus
22 OctDJuventus 2–2 Rennes
18 OctLJuventus 0–3 Lazio

Home and away

Lecce at home5 matches: 1W 0D 4L, goals 5–12
Juventus away5 matches: 2W 1D 2L, goals 6–6

Team comparison

LecceJuventus
55%Form45%
54%Attack46%
50%Defence50%
15%Head to head85%
27%Goals73%
38.7%Overall61.3%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

LecceLLLWL
JuventusWLWLD

Head to head

All matches
1Lecce
4Draws
10Juventus
25/10/26 · Lecce 0–2 Juventus
9/5/26 · Lecce 0–1 Juventus
3/1/26 · Juventus 1–1 Lecce
12/4/25 · Juventus 2–1 Lecce
1/12/24 · Lecce 1–1 Juventus
21/1/24 · Lecce 0–3 Juventus

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.0%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Lecce vs Juventus?

Lecce +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.62); Over 2.5 goals (1.94).

Who will win Lecce vs Juventus?

We estimate: Lecce win 15%, draw 23%, Juventus win 62%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 17:00, venue: Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce. Referee: Fabio Maresca.

Who will be missing?

Lecce: M. Berisha, L. Coulibaly, I. Ilic, S. Pierotti. Juventus: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, J. Ekhator, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.94); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 48% (odds 2.02).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 49% (odds 1.93).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 0–1 as most likely (12.1%), then 0–2 (11.5%) and 1–1 (10.3%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Venezia vs Udinese 6 NovCagliari vs Frosinone 7 NovTorino vs Lecce 7 NovParma vs Bologna 7 NovAS Roma vs Sassuolo 7 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.