Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Genoa against Juventus on 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at Luigi Ferraris (Genoa), and Daniele Doveri will referee. Juventus (53%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Genoa vs Juventus: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Genoa are 11th in the table, on 13 points after 10 matches (4W 1D 5L), and Juventus are 7th, on 17 points (5W 2D 3L).
- Attack and defence. On average Genoa score 0.8 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.6; for Juventus the figures are 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Genoa: 2W 1D 5L, goals 6–13; Juventus: 4W 2D 2L, goals 11–8.
- Head to head. From 33 meetings: 5 wins for Genoa, 22 wins for Juventus and 6 draws, with the goals at 26–56.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 0–1 (16.1%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Over 1.5 goals (odds 1.48), and we rate it at 65%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 42% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 39% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 33; Genoa 5 wins, 6 draws, Juventus 22 wins.
- An average of 2.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Genoa 6–13, Juventus 11–8.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 39%.
- Out: Genoa 5, Juventus 9.
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 2.5 goals (probability 61%, best price 1.57). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Genoa: E. Havel, L. Venturino, K. Ehizibue, D. Sow, S. Wiafe. Absent for Juventus: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, J. Ekhator, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Genoa vs Juventus: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 5.25 | 3.50 | 1.85 |
| Market average | 5.11 | 3.39 | 1.83 |
| Lowest odds | 5.00 | 3.25 | 1.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.48 | 1.45 | 65.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.49 | 2.44 | 39.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.57 | 60.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.75 | 4.63 | 20.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.20 | 2.20 | 42.3% |
| BTTS – no | 1.62 | 1.61 | 57.7% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 3.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Genoa 0–1 Juventus, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Genoa 11th (13 points), Juventus 7th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Genoa 2W 1D 5L (6:13), Juventus 4W 2D 2L (11:8).
- H2H: 33 matches: Genoa 5W 6D 22L, goals 26–56.
- Absences: Genoa 5, Juventus 9.
Who will win Genoa vs Juventus?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Genoa vs Juventus: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Genoa vs Juventus: team news and absences
Genoa
- E. Havelankle injury · will miss the match
- L. Venturinoknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Ehizibuemuscle injury · doubtful
- D. Sowthigh injury · doubtful
- S. Wiafemuscle injury · doubtful
Juventus
- Z. Celikmuscle injury · will miss the match
- F. Conceicaoshoulder injury · will miss the match
- J. Ekhatormuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Gonzalezcalf injury · will miss the match
- K. Grabaraknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Locatelliknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Miliknot in the squad · will miss the match
- K. Thuramknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Yildizfoot injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Genoa
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
GenoaWWWLWJuventusWLWLDHead to head
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Genoa vs Juventus?
Juventus -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Over 1.5 goals (1.48).
Who will win Genoa vs Juventus?
We estimate: Genoa win 19%, draw 28%, Juventus win 53%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 28 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Luigi Ferraris, Genoa. Referee: Daniele Doveri.
Who will be missing?
Genoa: E. Havel, L. Venturino, K. Ehizibue, D. Sow, S. Wiafe. Juventus: Z. Celik, F. Conceicao, J. Ekhator, N. Gonzalez, K. Grabara, M. Locatelli, A. Milik, K. Thuram, K. Yildiz. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 39% (odds 2.49); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 61% (odds 1.57).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 42% (odds 2.20).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 0–1 as most likely (16.1%), then 1–1 (12.0%) and 0–2 (11.6%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.