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Bundesliga · Matchweek 10 · 21 November 2026 · 14:30

SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg: prediction, tip and odds, 21 November 2026, Bundesliga

1SV Elversberg3.20
XDraw4.05
2SC Freiburg2.09

Best price · Updated 1/11/26, 17:11

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SV Elversberg play SC Freiburg at home on 21 November 2026 · 14:30 at Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg). For us, SC Freiburg (46%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.

SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg: tip and prediction
Handicap
SC Freiburg -0.25 (Asian handicap)
1.88
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.78
53%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or SC Freiburg (X2): 70% probability, best odds 1.38.

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SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. SV Elversberg are 7th in the table, on 13 points after 8 matches (4W 1D 3L), and SC Freiburg are 3rd, on 16 points (5W 1D 2L).

What to expect

We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–1 (9.7%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.78), and we rate it at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 65% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 65% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 65%.
  2. Out: SV Elversberg 0, SC Freiburg 0.

Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals

Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals (probability 45%, best price 2.20). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for SV Elversberg: no absences. Absent for SC Freiburg: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price3.204.052.09
Market average3.123.902.05
Lowest odds3.003.752.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.141.1282.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.441.4265.4%
Under 2.5 goals2.752.7034.6%
Over 3.5 goals2.202.1544.9%
BTTS – yes1.441.4365.4%
BTTS – no2.752.7034.6%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 17:11. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.7%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: SV Elversberg 1–1 SC Freiburg, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: SV Elversberg 7th (13 points), SC Freiburg 3rd (16 points).
  • Absences: SV Elversberg 0, SC Freiburg 0.

Who will win SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg?

SV Elversberg30%
Draw24%
SC Freiburg46%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals82.9% · fair odds 1.21 · best 1.14
Likely
Draw or SC Freiburg (X2)69.9% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.38
Likely
Over 2.5 goals65.4% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.44
Likely
BTTS – yes65.4% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.44
Likely
Under 3.5 goals55.1% · fair odds 1.81 · best 1.78
Possible
SC Freiburg to win45.8% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.09
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals44.9% · fair odds 2.23 · best 2.20
Outsider
BTTS – no34.6% · fair odds 2.89 · best 2.75
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals34.6% · fair odds 2.89 · best 2.75
Outsider
SV Elversberg to win30.1% · fair odds 3.32 · best 3.20
Outsider
Draw24.1% · fair odds 4.16 · best 4.05
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Correct score prediction

1 : 19.7%
1 : 29.0%
2 : 17.3%
2 : 26.8%
0 : 16.5%
0 : 26.0%

SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg: team news and absences

SV Elversberg

  • No reported absences

SC Freiburg

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Bayern München85-3-027:818
2Borussia Dortmund85-3-014:618
3SC Freiburg85-1-218:1016
4RB Leipzig85-0-322:1115
5Werder Bremen84-3-117:1415
6Bayer Leverkusen84-1-318:1613
7SV Elversberg84-1-316:1613
8Eintracht Frankfurt83-2-313:1811
9FSV Mainz 0583-1-417:1710
10FC Augsburg82-3-318:159
11VfB Stuttgart83-0-514:159
121899 Hoffenheim83-0-514:169
131. FC Köln82-3-39:129
14SC Paderborn 0782-3-36:99
15Hamburger SV83-0-57:199
16Union Berlin81-4-37:197
17FC Schalke 0481-3-44:96
18Borussia Mönchengladbach81-1-611:224

Recent matches

SV Elversberg

30 OctWSV Elversberg 4–1 FSV Mainz 05
24 OctLRB Leipzig 4–0 SV Elversberg
17 OctWSV Elversberg 4–3 FC Augsburg
10 OctLUnion Berlin 1–0 SV Elversberg
20 SeptDFC Schalke 04 0–0 SV Elversberg

SC Freiburg

31 OctWFC Augsburg 1–2 SC Freiburg
25 OctLSC Freiburg 1–3 Bayern München
22 OctLMonaco 3–0 SC Freiburg
18 OctLBayer Leverkusen 2–1 SC Freiburg
15 OctWSC Freiburg 3–2 FK Jablonec

Home and away

SV Elversberg at home4 matches: 3W 0D 1L, goals 12–8
SC Freiburg away4 matches: 2W 1D 1L, goals 6–5

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.7%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg?

SC Freiburg -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Under 3.5 goals (1.78).

Who will win SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg?

We estimate: SV Elversberg win 30%, draw 24%, SC Freiburg win 46%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 21 November 2026, kick-off: 14:30, venue: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg.

Who will be missing?

SV Elversberg: no absences. SC Freiburg: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 65% (odds 1.44); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 35% (odds 2.75).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 65% (odds 1.44).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (9.7%), then 1–2 (9.0%) and 2–1 (7.3%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Hamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach 6 NovFSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München 7 NovBorussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg 7 NovRB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg 7 NovSC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt 7 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.

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