SV Elversberg play SC Freiburg at home on 21 November 2026 · 14:30 at Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg). For us, SC Freiburg (46%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. SV Elversberg are 7th in the table, on 13 points after 8 matches (4W 1D 3L), and SC Freiburg are 3rd, on 16 points (5W 1D 2L).
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–1 (9.7%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.78), and we rate it at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 65% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 65% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 65%.
- Out: SV Elversberg 0, SC Freiburg 0.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals (probability 45%, best price 2.20). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for SV Elversberg: no absences. Absent for SC Freiburg: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.20 | 4.05 | 2.09 |
| Market average | 3.12 | 3.90 | 2.05 |
| Lowest odds | 3.00 | 3.75 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.12 | 82.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.42 | 65.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.70 | 34.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.15 | 44.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.43 | 65.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.75 | 2.70 | 34.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 17:11. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: SV Elversberg 1–1 SC Freiburg, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: SV Elversberg 7th (13 points), SC Freiburg 3rd (16 points).
- Absences: SV Elversberg 0, SC Freiburg 0.
Who will win SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg: team news and absences
SV Elversberg
- No reported absences
SC Freiburg
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 | |
| 15 | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 | |
| 16 | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 | |
| 17 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 | |
| 18 | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
SV Elversberg
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg?
SC Freiburg -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Under 3.5 goals (1.78).
Who will win SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg?
We estimate: SV Elversberg win 30%, draw 24%, SC Freiburg win 46%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 21 November 2026, kick-off: 14:30, venue: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg.
Who will be missing?
SV Elversberg: no absences. SC Freiburg: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 65% (odds 1.44); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 35% (odds 2.75).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 65% (odds 1.44).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (9.7%), then 1–2 (9.0%) and 2–1 (7.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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