Crystal Palace vs Liverpool: prediction, tip and odds, 8 November 2026, Premier League

Crystal Palace vs Liverpool betting prediction

Liverpool travel to Selhurst Park on 8 November 2026 for a 14:00 kick-off, part of Matchweek 10 in the Premier League. The expected-goals figures point the way: roughly 1 for Palace and 2 for Liverpool, about 3 combined. Among the likeliest exact results are 1-2 at 9.9%, 1-1 at 9.9% and 0-2 at 9.0%. Only one of those three, 0-2, hands Liverpool a clear two-goal margin, while 1-2 is a one-goal win and 1-1 a draw. That is the outlook we bring into this one.

Palace have scored too little to hide the rest

Crystal Palace have collected 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats in this competition, scoring 9 goals and conceding 21. That is 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded on average each game, and it is the latter number that gives us pause. On their own patch they have won once, drawn none and lost 3 times, with 6 goals for and 10 against. A team netting a goal a game while shipping more than two is not one we would be keen to back at home against anyone in this league.

Liverpool's away form and last five tell the same story

Liverpool have recorded 4 victories, 3 draws and 2 losses in this competition, netting 11 goals and letting in 9. Per match, that works out to 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. On the road, they have won 3 and drawn 1 without tasting defeat, with 7 scored and 3 conceded. In all competitions, their most recent five games produced 4 wins and 1 loss, 14 goals scored and 8 conceded. The only setback in that stretch was a 1-0 home loss to Arsenal.

Palace have been the mirror image lately, collecting no wins and a single draw from their last five across every competition, with 4 goals scored and 14 conceded. Among those results are a 5-0 loss away at Brighton and a 2-0 home loss to Newcastle. The league table offers a reasonable read on this competition, but the recent run above also takes in European and other fixtures, which makes it the more telling indicator of how both sides are performing at present.

Eighteen wins in 30 meetings, but not a one-way story

Across the last 30 meetings, Liverpool have taken 18 wins to Palace's 7, with 5 draws. Liverpool have found the net 61 times in those games, Palace 36. Recent form tells a tighter story. Palace won 2-1 at Selhurst Park and later won 3-0 when the teams met again, while Liverpool's 3-1 victory on 25 April 2026 sits at the top of the recent list. The 1-1 and 2-2 draws confirm that these clashes can stall as easily as they swing. We don't see the head-to-head as the deciding factor, though it does tilt slightly towards the visitors.

No absences, so the prices and form carry the weight

No injuries or suspensions have been flagged for either team, so the starting line-ups give us no reason to shift the numbers. Bookmakers price Liverpool at a 58% probability, with the best available price at 1.71. Palace come in at 20% with the top quote at 5.31, and the draw sits at 23% with a best price of 4.46. The overround built into the three-way market is 6.1%. Our read lines up with theirs, and we feel the Liverpool price is fair value rather than a bargain.

Our main tip and the goals angle

Our featured selection is Liverpool -0.75 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.88 (probability 54%). The stake is split evenly: one half backs Liverpool -1, the other half backs Liverpool -0.5. Under -1, Liverpool needs a margin of at least two goals, while a one-goal margin gives back the stake. Under -0.5, a one-goal margin is enough. Settlement by score: 1-2 returns half the stake, 1-1 loses, 0-2 wins, 0-1 returns half the stake, 1-3 wins, 0-3 wins.

Our pick rests on form: Liverpool have taken 4 of their last 5 and dropped just 1, whereas Palace have yet to win any of theirs. Liverpool sit 5th on 15 points, while Palace are 18th on 7. Liverpool's away record of 3 wins, 1 draw and no defeats is the strongest figure on the page for a travelling side. The head-to-head points the same way, and bookmakers price the outcome at 54% with the best available odds at 1.88. We prefer the handicap because a Liverpool win by two or more goals pays in full, while a one-goal win pays on half the stake.

We are backing Over 2.5 goals at odds 1.60, which the market rates at 61%. A 1-2, 1-3 or 0-3 finish wins the bet, while 1-1, 0-2 and 0-1 lose it. Three of Palace's last five games have produced over 2.5 goals, and Liverpool have done the same in three of their recent matches. Our expected total sits near 3 goals, and the best available price is 1.60. Even so, the stake should stay below the main tip, since the 0-2 and 1-1 results are among the most likely outcomes and both would lose.

Alternatives if the handicap looks too tight

• Liverpool -0.25 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.48 (chance 66%). It offers a gentler route to backing the outcome of our main pick.
• Odds of 1.62 on both teams to score (implied chance 59%). That price suits a game in which Palace have proven they can still find the net.
• Draw or Liverpool (X2) at odds 1.22 (chance 80%). The payout is modest, yet this selection wins whether the match ends level or Liverpool take the three points.

Liverpool hold the edge in form, away results and per-match output, so that is the side we are backing. Palace's recent games give no real reason to expect a win, which is why we are staying away from their long prices. Our pick for the scoreline is 1-2, which also sits at the top of the exact-score list here.